31 Comments

Yo need yo put a black mark at the top "Stong Sarcasmo content", like the advices of sugar or data in the meals.

Thanks Tom.

What about the VKS air patrols? With the retiring of the frontline bombers to rear airfields, MIG 31 and Su-35 are too lowering their CAP frecuencies? Are this helping UAF having more spots to bomb the VRSF?

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author

Yes, some sort of a 'continuous/automatic' disclaimer would be handy...

Re. VKS CAPs: I'll come back to this topic in IADS Part 2.

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Sep 8Liked by Sarcastosaurus

I wonder if the excavator powered aircraft exceeds the 300 meter “redline” in Ukraine? Better call Jake before WWIII begins.

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🙄🤐

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At the moment, going by Oryx loss ratios, the power rankings for western armor appears to go Challenger 2 > Leopard 2 > Abrams. IFVs go CV-90, Marder, Bradley. Pattern.

Granted, they all beat anything Soviet.

But the US style of engineering the Abrams to deal primarily with the threat of sabot rounds fired by 125mm guns has not aged well. Note how many ERA blocks have to be attached just to keep the tracks safe... and apparently if you thump an Abrams anywhere near the engine block it's a mission kill. Probably good that they didn't ship with the depleted uranium inserts - dead weight against drones that will pick an unarmored spot to hit.

As far as Pokrovsk goes, step one: establish anvil. Step two - couple weeks later, release the hammer against the flank. Notice how a bunch of the brigades in Kursk were in neighboring Kharkiv before shifting? Another pattern.

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Sep 8Liked by Sarcastosaurus

There is no hammer for Pokrovsk. The southern flank is cramped and hard to supply for Ukraine.

The northern flank would be useful but is closely controlled by Russian artillery and EW.

The tip of the salient is exposed, far from efective artillery and EW cover. This is why The reinforcements were sent to Seludove and Pokrovsk.

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Sep 8·edited Sep 8

"Granted, they all beat anything Soviet."

Survivability wise, yes. But for Challenger2, of course, which is on par with early T-72&80. First one was destroyed with a single Kornet, another one with a single Lancet.

Anyway, in the epoch of drones the chances of the tanks to survive are just slightly better than MRAPs. And motorcycle driving could be somewhat safer than sitting inside of BTR.

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Sep 8Liked by Sarcastosaurus

That's too sarcastosauric for me

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Hey Tom, what is your take on these recently used Optic Fiber FPV drones used? i think its more of a hassle tbh, but what i would do is use one of these Optic Fiber drones as a sort of Relay Drone Hub to extend their reach and increase survivability of the operator and ground control center

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I am afraid that the fiber will go into loops and break due to the wind as soon as the drone starts hovering in place.

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Don't know enough to comment about this topic. But, they do appear fearsome to me.

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Sep 8Liked by Sarcastosaurus

Outch ! That was a strong does of sarcasm on a rainy sunday afternoon.

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…hahahahahahahahahaha …what an utterly BULLSHIT !!!!

…”So the western press basically has been feeding everyone the exact line that the Kremlin has wanted it to take over the last few weeks. There were the stories in the New York Times and the Financial Times that I highlighted last weekend.”

…just like you are doing - PISS OFF you fucking putin propagandist

https://www.defensenews.com/global/europe/2024/08/19/zelenskyy-envisions-buffer-zone-as-ukraine-pushes-into-kursk-region/

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Friendly fire, man. Friendly fire.

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Come down, you misunderstood the sarcasm.

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Sep 8Liked by Sarcastosaurus

@"Current record holder is the assault group of that brigade led by Captain Alexander Bezmozhny, with ‘3 at once’"

Well fitting surname. Bezmozhny means Powerless.

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author

Damn.

Was aiming for Brainless... Even my Russian is getting rusty....

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Sep 9Liked by Sarcastosaurus

Безмозглый Bezmozgliy then.

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I am curios about the TOS-1 captured în Kharkiv. I couldn't find any mention of it. The system sits 5-7km from the frontline so Ukrainian troops should have made a big advance. Such systems are also very rare and would not be used as tractors.

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The Russians often bring them much closer to the LOC than that, because the range is relatively short.

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Sep 8Liked by Sarcastosaurus

I'd write something funny, but I'm afraid my humor is currently exhausted due to various life issues. One thing I'd love to see, just once? The UA fake a rotation and absolutely tan the hides off the RU attack. And while I'm wishing, having everyone do AARs would be nice too. And a pony. Scratch that, no pony. A badger.

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This is interesting. Russian attacks which succeded were usually big operations, prepared în advance. So they probably know the timetables from multiple sources: POW, radio intercepts and OSINT.

Many Russian attacks have also failed like Vulhedar at this moment.

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Mike,

I'm afraid you're expecting and demanding too much.

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Sep 9·edited Sep 9Liked by Sarcastosaurus

Being cynical right now, but at first pass this will look like the rotation being planned and prepared but cancelled in the last moment. And cue complaints from the soldiers in the social media that their rotation got cancelled right at the moment when they should be quiet. Might only work after a few botched attempts at this, judging from how things go in this war.

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Sep 10Liked by Sarcastosaurus

Yeah, I know. Maybe the pony is doable…

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OK, I wonder. Are you working on kremlin with your posts lately?

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author

Of course I do. Currently installing a new window - on Putin's loo.

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Sep 8Liked by Sarcastosaurus

Thanks for these updates Tom

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Sep 9Liked by Sarcastosaurus

“And how have they happened! Precisely in a fashion that could have been expected by nobodies like me, not to talk about the Russians: in front of the VSRF advance. Not at its flanks or somewhere else the GenStab-U wouldn’t ever expect them to…. happen.”

Two surprise attacks in one year? Too much to expect!

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Чудові огляди. Але занадто багато сарказму, через що у перекладі читати дуже важко. Велике прохання або менше сарказму, або використовувати більш прості фрази. Звісно буде не так красиво, але більш зрозуміло для тих кто не може читати на мові оригіналу.

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