The Russians use drones with target tracking in Kursk region. The tracking adds $100-200 to the cost of the FPV drone but makes it immune to EW https://t.me/serhii_flash/3951
I've been wondering about the development of autonomous drones. I've read that these will use a combination of inertial and image matching guidance. In a long range implementation, I wonder how the terrain maps have been acquired - on the assumption that you'd need 3-axis data, particularly for low-level operation. Does the US satellite surveillance actually generate that? My interest is based on the fact that in the late 80s I was involved in a project to develop 3D photogrammetry using the newly developed solid state camera sensors. Although we were primarily interested in machine vision, especially marine ROVs, I always wanted to put a system on a model aircraft... But we were a bit too early given the limitations of those cameras and especially the computer component. And the limitations of the UK banksters who managed, in consequence to ruin me.
One note on Vuhledar - the big orc assaults in 2023 that the 72nd fended off weren't backed by mass glide bomb attacks at the same level they are now. Those appear to have finally reduced the fortress so much that it's no longer the position it once was.
Frankly, were I running GenStab-U strategy, the front line would already be about 20km further back on most fronts. But I'd be doing a lot more engineering than seems to be happening, too.
I haven't written about it much, but I've been critical of the decision to hold so close to urban Donbas. Trying to put together a deep piece on leadership training. Hard to do right. But something has got to give.
I saw some photos from the Russian gliding bombs levelling the Vuhledar buildings. That's the difference between the failed attacks in 2022 and today.
Having 1.5 tonnes bombs hitting defenders has a huge impact. I would dare say that the air superiority of Russian forces and these gliding bombs are a major asset in Russian hands. If they had these in Bakhmut, they wouldn't need to spend so many troops
Still, the corrupt goblins want their children to dig their warrens, gather their mushrooms and brew their ale, not die in the bloodthirsty orcs' army fighting crusaders.
When I read this texts I wonder, how the hell is Ukraine planning to "win this war", win as in the sense of recovering all the territory lost since 2014, that isn't happening. They just don't have the men and the gear to achieve this. Would somebody care to enlighten me and get me out of my pessimistic mood?
Since NATO wants to fight the war to the last Ukrainian without providing what’s needed to win for fear of defeating Russia, I don’t see how there can be a military victory. The one way to win is for the Russian state to collapse, which is what DC is also trying to prevent while trying to keep Ukraine afloat. Will the least incompetent side prevail?
Winning is always relative. So it wont necessarily involved the full liberation but may be akin to survive at all as an independent state despite territorial losses.
Tragically, it often feels like Zelensky and the rest of the Ukrainian top brass prefer to talk about the hypothetical after war scenarios and so naturally keep been vocal about their maximalist ambitions (nothing wrong being maximalist about your nation freedom btw) rather than do their necessary homework to make such winning scenario possible. Like finally getting the AFU house in order, synchronizing the rest of the country so stuff like rear fortifications are done and done properly, etc ...
Imho Zelensky and friends too often take the bait of Western leaders talking about the after war without realizing Western leaders like to talk about the peace treaty, the "security architecture" and all that BS as it allows them to simultaneously talk about Ukraine without talking about what they are doing right here right now about Ukraine. The most egregious case being Macron. But really, all Westen leaders do it.
It is a trap Ukrainians must avoid yet the Zelensky administration exacerbated it with all its talk of NATO admission, security guarantee and whatever BS is being discussed currently.
Russia can still attack across international borders. The war stops when Russia no longer wants to fight. Thus its socio-economic decline must continue to be fueled to bring about such a change of attitude.
They will achive this goal when russia will have to withdraw. When the economy crumble, and the millitary is on their knees, and their internal political system see that they are in need of change.
There is a reason for the change in thei,r "use of atomic weapons policy", the last days.. Lets hope it is panic.
Legendary the 72nd Mech, I hope this unit teaches a lesson to the Genstab-U(or OTU, or OSUV or something like that) how to get out of the encirclement.
"And as a ‘consequences first’-guy, I cannot but wonder: in few years, when the Russians are kicked (in high loop, that’s sure) out of the country: what a mess are Ukrainians going to find in this area…?"
In that scenario UA soldiers gonna see a brand new city (rebuilt like Mariupol) with locals possesing RU passports and earning several times more than an average UA citizen.
Locals? What locals? There are no civilians left in Vuhledar.
Besides, go and ask the Russian veterans: those re-deployed to Kursk can't stress how happy they are to serve there, because (quote), 'people in the Donbas hate us and don't want us around'.
You are right. I don't know how to explain but I'll try. One part of the people Donbass shouted out 'we are Russians and want to be with Russia' another part shouted out 'I have no power to fight for to alive. I want to live like an ordinary people. I hate this war'. It's like catholic and protestant people in France before the Saint Bartholomew Day. The Ukrainian authorities did nothing before 2014, so Ukraine received this this bloody problem.
Population is not leaving Russia-held territories. Millions left Ukraine (from all parts of the country) to evade mobilization and war, not Russian. Surely population running from front zone, the question still stays on: how many will prefer to stay under Russia should they have a chance? The answer is simple: many. Population of Crimea, LNR and DNR have no problems to imigrate from Russia, but they stay home. Reason is simple: money. If you are loyal to new authorities, you can make a good career. Actually, that the thing that millions of Ukranians were doing since 17th century after Malorossia voluntarily joined Russia.
Ah, the population is not leaving the Russian-controlled territories? ...and people are leaving to avoid mobilisation and war, not to avoid Russian occupation and terror?
How good to know!
Now, for your information, already as of Nov 2017, the UN registered 1.8 million IDPs from Donbass:
Shall I now go on into the refugees fleeing from areas seized by Russia since 2022, too? Into the number of people mass-murdered by Russia in such areas? In Boucha? In Izyum? In Mariupol? In Melitpol (where the mass of Russian mass-murders are not even known in the public)? Into the number of Ukrainians deported to Russia and incarcerated there? Into the number of Ukrainian kids hijacked by Russia?
Sure, Russia has reported some 427,240 Ukrainians fleeing to its territory, as of 2017, too.
But, this is not chancing the fact: the population is fleeing from Ukrainian territories under the Russian control already since the Russian invasion of 2014. Whoever could afford to do so has left. And is not returning. Because such territories are ruled by armed gangs, mass-murder, detention, and lawlessness. Conclusion: Russian invasion has de-populated the Donbass (which is why meanwhile the VSRF must re-fill 'armed formations' of the 'Donetsk People's Republic's' and 'Luhansk People's Republic's' with own mobiks: their original complement was all spent in 2,5 years of war. So many men were recruited and then killed in combat that nobody is left to replace them.
And don't come to me with the Crimea or the 17th Century: yes, sure, most of the Russian methods of occupation of Ukraine are from the 17th Century, or earlier, but for your information, we're living in the 21st Century.
In the 21st Century, Crimea is a part of Ukraine. Unsurprisingly, what the Russians are doing there with Ukrainians (regardless what religious or ethnic group) is exactly the same they're doing with Ukrainians anywhere else.
Which is why what Russia is doing in Ukraine is described as a genocide. A campaign of systematic destruction of Ukrainians in Russian-controlled parts of Ukraine.
Accept it, and live with it: if nothing else, it might help you understand why are people like me supporting Ukraine.
Dear Tom, pre-2022 sources you referred to clearly stating that refugees were mainly going to Russia and many refugees came to other parts of Ukraine and Europe from …Ukrainian-held near warzone places.
As per genocide… there’s no genocide in Ukraine, like it or not. Ok, the war is genocide by itself, but all the rest… no way. Since Ukraine was attacked and considered a victim, it’s close to impossible to receive an objective picture in Western media owned by Deep State. Staged shows like Butcha (where corpses pro-Russian activists or those perished from artillery were put in a chess order by the road for Western journalists) are perfect examples. I remember the photos of presumably dead UA girl Anastasia Savchishina in Bucha who later resurrected and admitted that her “dead” photos were done to attract public opinion. The whole start of 2022 campaign was initially considered in Russia as a police operation. Russian troops were waiting Ukraine to surrender at once, and UA population was considered as totally friendly. About what mass murders in Mariupol and Meletopil you are writing? Even cutthroats and nazis from Azov captured in Mariupol are all safe and sound. Same story about the “kidnapped” kids. More than 20K of them were evacuated from the war zone deep into Russia, the same way as UA authorities is evacuating population from the places like Pokrovsk nowadays. The kids that lost traits of their relatives but lately found them in Ukraine regularly go to Ukraine. Recently, 10 kids joined their families in Ukraine:
The war is accompanied by the blatant lies and propaganda from both sides. Only later on (hopefully) we will find out the truth about many disputable things. I always remember a shameless UK foreign minister Cooke who was screaming about 100 thousand perished Kosovars to justify NATO bombing campaign back in 1999. After the conflict was over, “only” 800 bodies were found, most of them were KLA militants.
Once again, it’s not a problem for me to admit individual (!!!) acts of violence by Russian militants. The war is war, especially considering the number of former prisoners in Russian army. However, such things are nor welcomed and hopefully will be punished. In the similar manner, UA troops are looting shops and houses in Kursk region, killing and raping civilians, however, I am far from the thoughts to call it deliberate action, any army has its own sadists and criminals.
Another pity and, sadly, classical thing for the Russian army is a collateral damage. I am always shocked by the civilians killed by Russian missiles or bombs. But seriously think that Russian army deliberately target hospital or kindergarten, one should be out of his mind.
You are partially right about LNR&DNR. Many males perished, the law is yet to come, corruption and etc, but when the war is over, the order will come very fast. You can deny it or non-accept it, but a lot of Ukrainians chose Russia and millions more will return to the Russian-hold territories after this crazy civil war will be over.
"If you are loyal to the authorities, you can make a good career",
and if you don't, you fall out of a window. But watch out, the latter can happen to anyone anytime, if the "authorities" feel like it.
That's the way terrorist states work everywhere and it has been the principle of the RS for centuries, and even more so after the Tchekists took over the Kremlin 100 years ago.
But the terrorist tradition of "Russkii mir" goes back to even before Ivan Grozny. See for example what a contemporary visitor had to say about how Pskov "voluntarily joined Russia", as tupoilev would call it:
"It used to be great and had its own jurisciction, but in the year 1509 after treason of the priests Ivan Vasilevich occupied and enslaved it, and he removed the bell, whose chime used to call in the public meetings of the senate.
The people themselves he dispersed in colonies and put Moscovites in their place, who confined the freedom entirely. And thus instead of the cultivated and humane Pscovian customs the depraved (in every way) customs of the Moscovites were introduced."
"If you are loyal to the authorities, you can make a good career",
and if you don't, you fall out of a window. But watch out, the latter can happen to anyone anytime, if the "authorities" feel like it.
That's the way terrorist states work everywhere and it has been the principle of the RS for centuries, and even more so after the Tchekists took over the Kremlin 100 years ago.
But the terrorist tradition of "Russkii mir" goes back to even before Ivan Grozny. See for example what a contemporary visitor had to say about how Pskov "voluntarily joined Russia", as tupoilev would call it:
"It used to be great and had its own jurisciction, but in the year 1509 after treason of the priests Ivan Vasilevich occupied and enslaved it, and he removed the bell, whose chime used to call in the public meetings of the senate.
The people themselves he dispersed in colonies and put Moscovites in their place, who confined the freedom entirely. And thus instead of the cultivated and humane Pscovian customs the depraved (in every way) customs of the Moscovites were introduced."
If we are turning to the history, should I remind how other countries were created?)))
There's one thing none of you can refute: thruout centuries millions of Ukranians were making good careers in Russian empire, USSR and current Russia and did not face any ethnic or religious problems. Since you are loyal - welcome to the club. That's the idea.
"Millions of people left the occupation territories and the new Russian authority confiscate the empty real estate."
Sorry, you are spreading BS. Anyone could return and live at Russia-held territories without problem. Only few villas were confiscated in Crimea from UA top brass.
In case of Vuhledar, yes. But in places like Novogrodovka (left by UA troops without fights) population will stay on. Even in deadly places like Avdeevka or Bakmut from 5 to 10% of population stood at home and waited for Russian troops.
What are you talking about? Over the 10 years of the occupied part of Donetsk Oblast, almost all the mines were closed, there is no medicine, many just went to work in Russia. And I have relatives there, I know everything firsthand. In Mariupol, you rebuilt Azovstal, at least one large enterprise was built there. If everything is destroyed, then where will people work? What are you hanging noodles on our ears here.
"...looting local business and private homes – and that all over south-western Kharkiv. Yes, they’re looting Russian possessions from Russians." - I suppose you meant Kursk, not Kharkiv.
Sooner or later, Ukraine will have to ask itself what it wants to do with a completely destroyed, completely mined and now uninhabitable piece of no man's land (Donbass / Luhansk, Donetsk)?
Do you want to clear it of mines and rebuild it for hundreds of billions over 15 years or would you rather invest the money and resources in defense, the economy and repairing the infrastructure and buildings outside of Donbass? Let the Russians take care of it and work themselves to death on the wiped out towns and villages.
They destroyed it, so they should rebuild it. It worked in Grozny too.
What speaks against this is the fact that the big cities (Donetsk, Luhansk, Makiivka, Horlivka, Alchevsk, Siejewerodonetsk, Lysychansk) are still fairly intact and habitable. Of course, they would then have to be abandoned.
However, what does Ukraine want with cities where Ukrainian law does not currently apply and which have become increasingly Russian over the last two years? If these cities officially belong to the UA again after the war, they will be bringing the Russians back into the country.
So it would still be bearable to hand over these larger cities.
But then there is the moral side... How will Zelensky explain to the people that he acted rationally and had to give up the territory for the good of all? I absolutely would not want to be in his shoes. No matter what he decides, it is the wrong decision. There is no right one...
Because if this option is the only one that actually ends the war, Ukraine will be the loser. Everyone in the people will then ask what they fought for, so many sacrifices for nothing... Three years for nothing....
If one thinks rationally, then this solution should still be considered if it really ends the war
The Russians use drones with target tracking in Kursk region. The tracking adds $100-200 to the cost of the FPV drone but makes it immune to EW https://t.me/serhii_flash/3951
Presumably they still need a pilot to acquire the target before they track it so EW still has an important role.
I've been wondering about the development of autonomous drones. I've read that these will use a combination of inertial and image matching guidance. In a long range implementation, I wonder how the terrain maps have been acquired - on the assumption that you'd need 3-axis data, particularly for low-level operation. Does the US satellite surveillance actually generate that? My interest is based on the fact that in the late 80s I was involved in a project to develop 3D photogrammetry using the newly developed solid state camera sensors. Although we were primarily interested in machine vision, especially marine ROVs, I always wanted to put a system on a model aircraft... But we were a bit too early given the limitations of those cameras and especially the computer component. And the limitations of the UK banksters who managed, in consequence to ruin me.
.
I believe they use a kind of neural network to model the terrain based on Google maps (2D) images. A human can orient with a 2D map.
One note on Vuhledar - the big orc assaults in 2023 that the 72nd fended off weren't backed by mass glide bomb attacks at the same level they are now. Those appear to have finally reduced the fortress so much that it's no longer the position it once was.
Frankly, were I running GenStab-U strategy, the front line would already be about 20km further back on most fronts. But I'd be doing a lot more engineering than seems to be happening, too.
I haven't written about it much, but I've been critical of the decision to hold so close to urban Donbas. Trying to put together a deep piece on leadership training. Hard to do right. But something has got to give.
I saw some photos from the Russian gliding bombs levelling the Vuhledar buildings. That's the difference between the failed attacks in 2022 and today.
Having 1.5 tonnes bombs hitting defenders has a huge impact. I would dare say that the air superiority of Russian forces and these gliding bombs are a major asset in Russian hands. If they had these in Bakhmut, they wouldn't need to spend so many troops
Another case of a programmer who volunteered to help ZSU but ended up in an assault unit https://www.linkedin.com/posts/oleksandr-shturniev-325a26135_%D0%B2%D1%96%D1%82%D0%B0%D1%8E-%D0%BC%D0%B5%D0%BD%D0%B5-%D0%B7%D0%B2%D0%B0%D1%82%D0%B8-%D1%88%D1%82%D1%83%D1%80%D0%BD%D1%94%D0%B2-%D0%BE%D0%BB%D0%B5%D0%BA%D1%81%D0%B0%D0%BD%D0%B4%D1%80-%D1%8F-%D0%BF%D1%80%D0%BE%D0%B3%D1%80%D0%B0%D0%BC%D1%96%D1%81%D1%82-activity-7245147301093027840-m8c2
Smth similar happened recently on the opposite side:
https://t.me/operator13zov/32937
Sorry, orcs vs. goblins
Can you answer the questions you are asked?
Still, the corrupt goblins want their children to dig their warrens, gather their mushrooms and brew their ale, not die in the bloodthirsty orcs' army fighting crusaders.
Never doubted that. Still I meant smth different: governance
When I read this texts I wonder, how the hell is Ukraine planning to "win this war", win as in the sense of recovering all the territory lost since 2014, that isn't happening. They just don't have the men and the gear to achieve this. Would somebody care to enlighten me and get me out of my pessimistic mood?
Since NATO wants to fight the war to the last Ukrainian without providing what’s needed to win for fear of defeating Russia, I don’t see how there can be a military victory. The one way to win is for the Russian state to collapse, which is what DC is also trying to prevent while trying to keep Ukraine afloat. Will the least incompetent side prevail?
Winning is always relative. So it wont necessarily involved the full liberation but may be akin to survive at all as an independent state despite territorial losses.
Tragically, it often feels like Zelensky and the rest of the Ukrainian top brass prefer to talk about the hypothetical after war scenarios and so naturally keep been vocal about their maximalist ambitions (nothing wrong being maximalist about your nation freedom btw) rather than do their necessary homework to make such winning scenario possible. Like finally getting the AFU house in order, synchronizing the rest of the country so stuff like rear fortifications are done and done properly, etc ...
Imho Zelensky and friends too often take the bait of Western leaders talking about the after war without realizing Western leaders like to talk about the peace treaty, the "security architecture" and all that BS as it allows them to simultaneously talk about Ukraine without talking about what they are doing right here right now about Ukraine. The most egregious case being Macron. But really, all Westen leaders do it.
It is a trap Ukrainians must avoid yet the Zelensky administration exacerbated it with all its talk of NATO admission, security guarantee and whatever BS is being discussed currently.
Russia can still attack across international borders. The war stops when Russia no longer wants to fight. Thus its socio-economic decline must continue to be fueled to bring about such a change of attitude.
Excellent question, Pedro.
Let me think about this and formulate everything the way it's making sense, and I'll come back with a separate feature to answer it.
Oh thanks so much for replying.
Victory Plan Battle: V. Zelensky vs Tom Cooper! Bring it on!
They will achive this goal when russia will have to withdraw. When the economy crumble, and the millitary is on their knees, and their internal political system see that they are in need of change.
There is a reason for the change in thei,r "use of atomic weapons policy", the last days.. Lets hope it is panic.
Thanks Tom
Legendary the 72nd Mech, I hope this unit teaches a lesson to the Genstab-U(or OTU, or OSUV or something like that) how to get out of the encirclement.
"And as a ‘consequences first’-guy, I cannot but wonder: in few years, when the Russians are kicked (in high loop, that’s sure) out of the country: what a mess are Ukrainians going to find in this area…?"
In that scenario UA soldiers gonna see a brand new city (rebuilt like Mariupol) with locals possesing RU passports and earning several times more than an average UA citizen.
Locals? What locals? There are no civilians left in Vuhledar.
Besides, go and ask the Russian veterans: those re-deployed to Kursk can't stress how happy they are to serve there, because (quote), 'people in the Donbas hate us and don't want us around'.
You are right. I don't know how to explain but I'll try. One part of the people Donbass shouted out 'we are Russians and want to be with Russia' another part shouted out 'I have no power to fight for to alive. I want to live like an ordinary people. I hate this war'. It's like catholic and protestant people in France before the Saint Bartholomew Day. The Ukrainian authorities did nothing before 2014, so Ukraine received this this bloody problem.
P.s. It's my own experience from March 2022.
You only left out all the Ukrainians in Donbass who want to be Ukrainians.
Millions of them have left since 2014. Dozens of thousands are serving in the ZSU.
Does nobody in Russia wonder why?
Population is not leaving Russia-held territories. Millions left Ukraine (from all parts of the country) to evade mobilization and war, not Russian. Surely population running from front zone, the question still stays on: how many will prefer to stay under Russia should they have a chance? The answer is simple: many. Population of Crimea, LNR and DNR have no problems to imigrate from Russia, but they stay home. Reason is simple: money. If you are loyal to new authorities, you can make a good career. Actually, that the thing that millions of Ukranians were doing since 17th century after Malorossia voluntarily joined Russia.
Ah, the population is not leaving the Russian-controlled territories? ...and people are leaving to avoid mobilisation and war, not to avoid Russian occupation and terror?
How good to know!
Now, for your information, already as of Nov 2017, the UN registered 1.8 million IDPs from Donbass:
https://reliefweb.int/report/ukraine/ukraine-unhcr-operational-update-01-30-november-2017
Shall I now go on into the refugees fleeing from areas seized by Russia since 2022, too? Into the number of people mass-murdered by Russia in such areas? In Boucha? In Izyum? In Mariupol? In Melitpol (where the mass of Russian mass-murders are not even known in the public)? Into the number of Ukrainians deported to Russia and incarcerated there? Into the number of Ukrainian kids hijacked by Russia?
Sure, Russia has reported some 427,240 Ukrainians fleeing to its territory, as of 2017, too.
But, this is not chancing the fact: the population is fleeing from Ukrainian territories under the Russian control already since the Russian invasion of 2014. Whoever could afford to do so has left. And is not returning. Because such territories are ruled by armed gangs, mass-murder, detention, and lawlessness. Conclusion: Russian invasion has de-populated the Donbass (which is why meanwhile the VSRF must re-fill 'armed formations' of the 'Donetsk People's Republic's' and 'Luhansk People's Republic's' with own mobiks: their original complement was all spent in 2,5 years of war. So many men were recruited and then killed in combat that nobody is left to replace them.
And don't come to me with the Crimea or the 17th Century: yes, sure, most of the Russian methods of occupation of Ukraine are from the 17th Century, or earlier, but for your information, we're living in the 21st Century.
In the 21st Century, Crimea is a part of Ukraine. Unsurprisingly, what the Russians are doing there with Ukrainians (regardless what religious or ethnic group) is exactly the same they're doing with Ukrainians anywhere else.
Which is why what Russia is doing in Ukraine is described as a genocide. A campaign of systematic destruction of Ukrainians in Russian-controlled parts of Ukraine.
Accept it, and live with it: if nothing else, it might help you understand why are people like me supporting Ukraine.
Dear Tom, pre-2022 sources you referred to clearly stating that refugees were mainly going to Russia and many refugees came to other parts of Ukraine and Europe from …Ukrainian-held near warzone places.
As per genocide… there’s no genocide in Ukraine, like it or not. Ok, the war is genocide by itself, but all the rest… no way. Since Ukraine was attacked and considered a victim, it’s close to impossible to receive an objective picture in Western media owned by Deep State. Staged shows like Butcha (where corpses pro-Russian activists or those perished from artillery were put in a chess order by the road for Western journalists) are perfect examples. I remember the photos of presumably dead UA girl Anastasia Savchishina in Bucha who later resurrected and admitted that her “dead” photos were done to attract public opinion. The whole start of 2022 campaign was initially considered in Russia as a police operation. Russian troops were waiting Ukraine to surrender at once, and UA population was considered as totally friendly. About what mass murders in Mariupol and Meletopil you are writing? Even cutthroats and nazis from Azov captured in Mariupol are all safe and sound. Same story about the “kidnapped” kids. More than 20K of them were evacuated from the war zone deep into Russia, the same way as UA authorities is evacuating population from the places like Pokrovsk nowadays. The kids that lost traits of their relatives but lately found them in Ukraine regularly go to Ukraine. Recently, 10 kids joined their families in Ukraine:
https://www.kommersant.ru/doc/6560907
The war is accompanied by the blatant lies and propaganda from both sides. Only later on (hopefully) we will find out the truth about many disputable things. I always remember a shameless UK foreign minister Cooke who was screaming about 100 thousand perished Kosovars to justify NATO bombing campaign back in 1999. After the conflict was over, “only” 800 bodies were found, most of them were KLA militants.
Once again, it’s not a problem for me to admit individual (!!!) acts of violence by Russian militants. The war is war, especially considering the number of former prisoners in Russian army. However, such things are nor welcomed and hopefully will be punished. In the similar manner, UA troops are looting shops and houses in Kursk region, killing and raping civilians, however, I am far from the thoughts to call it deliberate action, any army has its own sadists and criminals.
Another pity and, sadly, classical thing for the Russian army is a collateral damage. I am always shocked by the civilians killed by Russian missiles or bombs. But seriously think that Russian army deliberately target hospital or kindergarten, one should be out of his mind.
You are partially right about LNR&DNR. Many males perished, the law is yet to come, corruption and etc, but when the war is over, the order will come very fast. You can deny it or non-accept it, but a lot of Ukrainians chose Russia and millions more will return to the Russian-hold territories after this crazy civil war will be over.
"If you are loyal to the authorities, you can make a good career",
and if you don't, you fall out of a window. But watch out, the latter can happen to anyone anytime, if the "authorities" feel like it.
That's the way terrorist states work everywhere and it has been the principle of the RS for centuries, and even more so after the Tchekists took over the Kremlin 100 years ago.
But the terrorist tradition of "Russkii mir" goes back to even before Ivan Grozny. See for example what a contemporary visitor had to say about how Pskov "voluntarily joined Russia", as tupoilev would call it:
"It used to be great and had its own jurisciction, but in the year 1509 after treason of the priests Ivan Vasilevich occupied and enslaved it, and he removed the bell, whose chime used to call in the public meetings of the senate.
The people themselves he dispersed in colonies and put Moscovites in their place, who confined the freedom entirely. And thus instead of the cultivated and humane Pscovian customs the depraved (in every way) customs of the Moscovites were introduced."
Sigismund von Herberstein, "Moscovia" (1556)
https://www.dokumente.ios-regensburg.de/publikationen/Herberstein_gesamt.pdf)
p.556
For more details see Karamzin (Kn 7, gl 1) or the original Pskov manuscript,
in Лихачев, Памятники литературы древней Руси, т.8, XV - XVI века, p.364
Disclaimer:
Given the feudal structure, which the RS preserved from medieval times,
any similarities to current affairs are unavoidable.
"If you are loyal to the authorities, you can make a good career",
and if you don't, you fall out of a window. But watch out, the latter can happen to anyone anytime, if the "authorities" feel like it.
That's the way terrorist states work everywhere and it has been the principle of the RS for centuries, and even more so after the Tchekists took over the Kremlin 100 years ago.
But the terrorist tradition of "Russkii mir" goes back to even before Ivan Grozny. See for example what a contemporary visitor had to say about how Pskov "voluntarily joined Russia", as tupoilev would call it:
"It used to be great and had its own jurisciction, but in the year 1509 after treason of the priests Ivan Vasilevich occupied and enslaved it, and he removed the bell, whose chime used to call in the public meetings of the senate.
The people themselves he dispersed in colonies and put Moscovites in their place, who confined the freedom entirely. And thus instead of the cultivated and humane Pscovian customs the depraved (in every way) customs of the Moscovites were introduced."
Sigismund von Herberstein, "Moscovia" (1556)
https://www.dokumente.ios-regensburg.de/publikationen/Herberstein_gesamt.pdf)
p.556
For more details see Karamzin (Kn 7, gl 1) or the original Pskov manuscript,
in Лихачев, Памятники литературы древней Руси, т.8, XV - XVI века, p.364
Disclaimer:
Given the feudal structure, which the RS preserved from medieval times,
any similarities to current affairs are unavoidable.
If we are turning to the history, should I remind how other countries were created?)))
There's one thing none of you can refute: thruout centuries millions of Ukranians were making good careers in Russian empire, USSR and current Russia and did not face any ethnic or religious problems. Since you are loyal - welcome to the club. That's the idea.
According to the UN(International Organisation for Migration) in Ukraine, 3 548 000 people have status the internally displaced persons.
According to the Ukrainian authorities, there are 4,6 million people who were removed from their homes.
Millions of people left the occupation territories and the new Russian authority confiscate the empty real estate.
So you are spreading the misinformation, aren't you?
"Millions of people left the occupation territories and the new Russian authority confiscate the empty real estate."
Sorry, you are spreading BS. Anyone could return and live at Russia-held territories without problem. Only few villas were confiscated in Crimea from UA top brass.
In case of Vuhledar, yes. But in places like Novogrodovka (left by UA troops without fights) population will stay on. Even in deadly places like Avdeevka or Bakmut from 5 to 10% of population stood at home and waited for Russian troops.
LOL. Novohrodivka is currently nearly empty, except of the Russian soldiers hiding inside it's buildings.
What are you talking about? Over the 10 years of the occupied part of Donetsk Oblast, almost all the mines were closed, there is no medicine, many just went to work in Russia. And I have relatives there, I know everything firsthand. In Mariupol, you rebuilt Azovstal, at least one large enterprise was built there. If everything is destroyed, then where will people work? What are you hanging noodles on our ears here.
"...looting local business and private homes – and that all over south-western Kharkiv. Yes, they’re looting Russian possessions from Russians." - I suppose you meant Kursk, not Kharkiv.
Thanks for this less than upbeat report Tom
"152nd Mech" - reformatted to Jaeger, too.
Hmmm.... . Now why would you transform an mech. infantry Brigade into a infantry one ? I often wonder. :) :)
I'm sure you've guessed right. :/
Sooner or later, Ukraine will have to ask itself what it wants to do with a completely destroyed, completely mined and now uninhabitable piece of no man's land (Donbass / Luhansk, Donetsk)?
Do you want to clear it of mines and rebuild it for hundreds of billions over 15 years or would you rather invest the money and resources in defense, the economy and repairing the infrastructure and buildings outside of Donbass? Let the Russians take care of it and work themselves to death on the wiped out towns and villages.
They destroyed it, so they should rebuild it. It worked in Grozny too.
What speaks against this is the fact that the big cities (Donetsk, Luhansk, Makiivka, Horlivka, Alchevsk, Siejewerodonetsk, Lysychansk) are still fairly intact and habitable. Of course, they would then have to be abandoned.
However, what does Ukraine want with cities where Ukrainian law does not currently apply and which have become increasingly Russian over the last two years? If these cities officially belong to the UA again after the war, they will be bringing the Russians back into the country.
So it would still be bearable to hand over these larger cities.
But then there is the moral side... How will Zelensky explain to the people that he acted rationally and had to give up the territory for the good of all? I absolutely would not want to be in his shoes. No matter what he decides, it is the wrong decision. There is no right one...
Because if this option is the only one that actually ends the war, Ukraine will be the loser. Everyone in the people will then ask what they fought for, so many sacrifices for nothing... Three years for nothing....
If one thinks rationally, then this solution should still be considered if it really ends the war
This might be of interest (about the last flight of the Dutch F-16s, 24 of these are going to Ukraine). This also discuss the MLU capabilities
https://www.twz.com/air/last-viper-commander-dutch-squadron-boss-on-todays-retirement-of-the-f-16