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Randy Hermann's avatar

It seems the Ukrainians should have the situational awareness advantage from NATO and USA assets but they lack the ability to act. Meanwhile the Russians have the means of action and sufficient situational awareness to carry out the actions in a limited capacity.

Would it be accurate to say that balance could easily shift if the Ukrainians were given the ability to disable Russian radar? Do they have sufficient airpower to achieve even local superiority?

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Sarcastosaurus's avatar

The balance has already shifted - due to the delivery of advanced Western SAMs and electronic warfare systems. Will be 'explained' in the next part.

Re. 'local air superiority': the PSU has already established a sort 'aerial parity' along the frontlines - and that as early as of 1 March last year (and without any 'F-16s'). Regardless if Russian or Ukrainian, no pilots/crews dare flying anywhere within 50km from the frontline at altitudes above 20m. That is not only hindering the PSU, but greatly limiting the VKS too.

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Tamesis's avatar

Thanks, Tom, for another fascinating article.

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paul crowe's avatar

Loving the patient build up, layer upon layer, to illustrate the complexity of what media outlets reduce to facile simplicity!

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Oleksandr's avatar

Thank you very much! Extremely clear and understandable concerning complicated things. Looking forward to continuing.

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Sarcastosaurus's avatar

Oh, thanks a lot: outright relived I've managed to explain it simply enough.

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RSentongo's avatar

Great post looking forward to the next one.

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DL's avatar

Tom Cooper at his best. Great article, thanks.

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Kris's avatar

Loved the stadium and lamp metaphor, looking forward for the Part 4

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Alejandro Montenegro's avatar

Really learned a Lot with this article! Thanks Tom!

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Gary Behrens's avatar

#3 read and thanks Tom I,m trying to absorb this information and I'm seeing the light so to speak

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Istvan Szabo's avatar

#constructivecriticism: I think the 3D vs 4D analogy should be swapped out to 2D vs 3D as the possibility to move in 2 directions (left & right or forward & backward) is exactly what is meant by 2D. You can model it on a piece of paper (or a chessboard) that is 2 dimensional.

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Vasyl''s avatar

And again - very educational read.

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Antonio_Jose Perez_Alonso's avatar

Thanks a lot

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Влади Петров's avatar

Now I know that sand storms will affect radars in Ukraine big time 🌞. And seriously - great story you're writing 😎

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