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Hi don, the summary is appreciated, one question: Rostec reported that it delivered another A-50U to the Vks, how many of these devices would they need to have sufficient redundancy at the time of the arrival of the f-16. .? kind regards

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Tom is in a better position to answer this, but my understanding is that they're at, or slightly beyond capacity now and there is no redundancy.

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The Franken-SAM text repeats much or part 1.

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If so, then it's my mistake.

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Thanks for the good reports lots of good information contained here. My hope is that the Ukrainians can hang in there and that we can get the right wing republicans subdued and get the aid going to the UAF it sounds like the EU is stepping up nicely . Iread somewhere that the Russians are backing off some in the aerial bombing don't is it true

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That would mean 'hanging around' until inauguration in January the next year... A lots of water is going to flow down Dnipro by then...

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Mar 4Liked by Sarcastosaurus

Спасибо

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Interesting, but the simultaneous intercepts didn't look like they occurred at "low altitude."

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My self-believing and self-important boss today, overcome by some podcast, suddenly wheeled on me and declared "Ukraine is going to lose this war!" with shock and horror. So I ask him, "Have 'they' ever said otherwise? And have you? Why feign shock now, that someone would make this case again?" The spectrum of opinion agrees the war will go on another year, probably two, possibly five, so why imagine nothing will change in that time? It's already unexpected change that Ukraine fended off conquer and then retook territory. It's also change that NATO has added very committed countries and Poland and Lithuania and Germany and France have been roused to open opposition of Russia. So much more can change. In Russia the rebellion is coming. And in the US "Johnson" is going to allow Congress Republicans to devise an aid package. Why? Because intensely anti-Russian pro-militarism Republicans were going to turn him into a paper airplane. The whole charlattan Trump fringe knows they cann't argue with that wing of the party. Putin looks fit to be toppled

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Thank you for the report Don!!

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Mar 5·edited Mar 5

After French conservative newspaper Figaro released the number of artillery shells delivered by France to Ukraine (30k in total since February 2022); French MoD disclosed the complete list of French equipment delivered to Ukraine.

https://www.lefigaro.fr/international/en-deux-ans-la-france-a-livre-30-000-obus-de-155-mm-a-l-ukraine-20240303

https://www.defense.gouv.fr/actualites/ukraine-france-dresse-bilan-equipements-militaires-livres#:~:text=Au%20bilan%2C%20la%20France%20a,et%20le%2031%20d%C3%A9cembre%202023.

It includes all deliveries. A handful are still confidential, namely Land - Air missiles, SCALP and odly enough, Milan ATGMs (though 3 launchers were delivered).

On the production front, NEXTER has communicated and indicated that Forges de Tarbes owners, Europlasma, has ceased its deliveries of shell casing since 3 weeks. Though Nexter claims it has not yet impacted its production seriously, with Nexter conducting maintenance instead. I leave to everyone to guess if it is the truth or just PR.

https://www.usinenouvelle.com/article/les-forges-de-tarbes-le-maillon-faible-de-l-effort-de-guerre-francais-pour-l-ukraine.N2209212

The situation with Europlasma is serious enough that French Defence minister Lecornu is set to visite the production site in the coming weeks. 2 Weeks ago, Europlasma executive visited the minister of Industry in Paris. It is worth mentioning that France gave advance of 7M to Eurosplasma so the later could invest in Forges de Tarbes. Yet Europlasma has yet to do so.

Instead Eurosplasma is continuing a spree of acquisition and financial operation with suspicion financial actors ... For exemple Europlasma is set to acquire 2 bankrupted steelworks in Vaucluses after the previous owner, a Chinese company, decided to cut its losses. Europlasma is the only company interested. Initially it manifested itself for only one site but later decided why not get both ? It is rather obvious Europlasma is seizing the momentum to acquire everything and only latter decide what is worth, what may receive some investments if at all, and how to make money out of it.

I would not get my hope to high about political intervention, typically the state can refuse such acquisition if the potential buyer appears not serious enough to save the production site. But usually it does anyway for political reason. The cynical and slightly (economical) maxist thinker in me would say it is a core feature of our system rather than a bug.

Eventually Nexter will safeguard its steel supply one way or the other but it will be additional time lost.

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