Doubt Trump and his circus will keep his word long term. Fat orange bastard could act tough all he wants now, but won't be surprised if he's bending over for Putin later like the good little puppet he is
He has done it again! He proclaimed a "big announcement" today. What did we see/hear? The Orange Hair Fiasco is giving Putin 50 days to agree to a cease fire before crippling tariffs are leveled (upon whom?). The U.S. does not do much trade with Russia. Now who is Trump going to punish? Those with whom the U.S. already trades? It's TACO once again!
Russian strategic strike drones are being produced at an increasingly fast rate. Ukrainian drone interceptors are just getting off the ground. At some point, the drone interceptors production will be ramped up in sufficient numbers to deal with much of the Shahed/Geran drones, and the Ukrainian mobile air defense teams can turn in their machine guns and start using the drone interceptors. Missiles are still needed for cruise missiles and the Patriot PAC-3 missile is needed for ballistic missiles.
The damage Russian drones and missiles are doing to civilian structures is well known. The damage they're doing to Ukraine's defense industry is less well known but appears to be relatively minor, in part to decentralization of newer facilities, particularly those involved in drone production. Energy infrastructure is being rebuilt in smaller decentralized locations, as well.
Ukrainian strategic strike drone production is increasing, as well, but they hope to produce 30,000 this year. By comparison, Russia is producing almost 6k per month, half of them strike drones and half of them decoys. Russia's rate of production is increasing, and they will likely be increasing the percentage of strike drones created. Attacks on the factory that make the warheads for the Geran will certainly slow that effort.
Ukraine has attacked a number of oil and gas infrastructure facilities and OSINT has a fairly good picture of the damage. The refineries were a priority target because refined oil has a higher profit margin. About 10% of the facilities have been damaged. Some have been repaired after weeks and months and some have not. A lot of Russia's oil storage facilities have been destroyed. Besides losing the product itself, it can indirectly reduce oil production because Russia would have to ship it out immediately or store it on ships or reduce production because there is nowhere to store it. There's been one attack on the infrastruction that provides 20% of Russia's natural gas, and there's been one attack on a major pipeline to several defense manufacturers.
There have been a lot of attacks on the defense manufacturers itself. Generally speaking, they do not suffer the level of destruction that one might see during WW2 bombing raids. It is usually just one or a few localized fires that will interrupt production for a few weeks or a couple of months, which is still significant in itself, and then production resumes at maybe 90-95%. Many facilities have been attacked 2-6 times over the years with 1-12 drones at a time.
I do not know all the factors involve to explain why the centralized Alabuga drone factory isn't target with a 100 drone raid, I can only observe that circumstances, not choice, limit the Ukrainian decisions to send 1-6 drones at a time. It is possible that with so many targets in the vast lands of Russia they want to maximize the impact each individual drone has, but that is speculation on my part.
Some of the more spectacular results have been the attacks on the weapon depots. When HIMARS arrived, large centralized depots in Ukraine were targeted. Russia had to move the depots back and disperse them into smaller locations. They could still function, but not as efficiently. The attacks on the large depots in Russia cost up to six weeks of ammo and degrades their logistical chain just a little bit more. They can still function, just quite as well.
Generally speaking, Ukraine's attacks are not knockout punches but blows to the body that are absorbed. But each punch does just a little bit more damage and it adds up over time. As Russia's air defenses degrade and Ukraine's strike ability increases the punches will get heavier. Russia's ability to produce will slowly decrease. These are the current trends.
"Big Whoop!" announcement from iL Douche (bag): Russia now has 50 days to agree to a cease fire before crippling secondary tariffs begin. More delay in punishment. This seems to me to be a Putin-esque stalling tactic by the Russian agent wannabe in the White House.
Trump is an inveterate liar. It does not help to pay attention to what he says, but only to what he actually does. Thus far, except for the Iranian fiasco, iL Douche (bag) is still the TACO Commander in Chief.
IMO Trump does not care about Ukraine, he just cares about Israel and Iran. In his limited world (and mental) view the world is dominated by few superpowers and the others has to do what they say.
Because Israeli+USA bombs failed to destruct Iran's nuke program, Dumpf asked Putin to make Iran to give it up. Iran refused Putin proposal, of course, why they should listen, Putin just exploits them and never really helped them. So, Trump is upset about Putin because and want to press him through Ukraine. That's all. If Putin or anything else would solve that "Iran nuke issue", he would stop UA support again. Because what is worse than Iran nukes? When small countries does not obey superpowers.
Doubt Trump and his circus will keep his word long term. Fat orange bastard could act tough all he wants now, but won't be surprised if he's bending over for Putin later like the good little puppet he is
He has done it again! He proclaimed a "big announcement" today. What did we see/hear? The Orange Hair Fiasco is giving Putin 50 days to agree to a cease fire before crippling tariffs are leveled (upon whom?). The U.S. does not do much trade with Russia. Now who is Trump going to punish? Those with whom the U.S. already trades? It's TACO once again!
https://open.substack.com/pub/jasonjaysmart/p/ukraines-drone-war-is-crippling-russias?utm_source=share&utm_medium=android&r=17x3tm
What do you make of this 'report', please?
Russian strategic strike drones are being produced at an increasingly fast rate. Ukrainian drone interceptors are just getting off the ground. At some point, the drone interceptors production will be ramped up in sufficient numbers to deal with much of the Shahed/Geran drones, and the Ukrainian mobile air defense teams can turn in their machine guns and start using the drone interceptors. Missiles are still needed for cruise missiles and the Patriot PAC-3 missile is needed for ballistic missiles.
The damage Russian drones and missiles are doing to civilian structures is well known. The damage they're doing to Ukraine's defense industry is less well known but appears to be relatively minor, in part to decentralization of newer facilities, particularly those involved in drone production. Energy infrastructure is being rebuilt in smaller decentralized locations, as well.
Ukrainian strategic strike drone production is increasing, as well, but they hope to produce 30,000 this year. By comparison, Russia is producing almost 6k per month, half of them strike drones and half of them decoys. Russia's rate of production is increasing, and they will likely be increasing the percentage of strike drones created. Attacks on the factory that make the warheads for the Geran will certainly slow that effort.
Ukraine has attacked a number of oil and gas infrastructure facilities and OSINT has a fairly good picture of the damage. The refineries were a priority target because refined oil has a higher profit margin. About 10% of the facilities have been damaged. Some have been repaired after weeks and months and some have not. A lot of Russia's oil storage facilities have been destroyed. Besides losing the product itself, it can indirectly reduce oil production because Russia would have to ship it out immediately or store it on ships or reduce production because there is nowhere to store it. There's been one attack on the infrastruction that provides 20% of Russia's natural gas, and there's been one attack on a major pipeline to several defense manufacturers.
There have been a lot of attacks on the defense manufacturers itself. Generally speaking, they do not suffer the level of destruction that one might see during WW2 bombing raids. It is usually just one or a few localized fires that will interrupt production for a few weeks or a couple of months, which is still significant in itself, and then production resumes at maybe 90-95%. Many facilities have been attacked 2-6 times over the years with 1-12 drones at a time.
I do not know all the factors involve to explain why the centralized Alabuga drone factory isn't target with a 100 drone raid, I can only observe that circumstances, not choice, limit the Ukrainian decisions to send 1-6 drones at a time. It is possible that with so many targets in the vast lands of Russia they want to maximize the impact each individual drone has, but that is speculation on my part.
Some of the more spectacular results have been the attacks on the weapon depots. When HIMARS arrived, large centralized depots in Ukraine were targeted. Russia had to move the depots back and disperse them into smaller locations. They could still function, but not as efficiently. The attacks on the large depots in Russia cost up to six weeks of ammo and degrades their logistical chain just a little bit more. They can still function, just quite as well.
Generally speaking, Ukraine's attacks are not knockout punches but blows to the body that are absorbed. But each punch does just a little bit more damage and it adds up over time. As Russia's air defenses degrade and Ukraine's strike ability increases the punches will get heavier. Russia's ability to produce will slowly decrease. These are the current trends.
"Big Whoop!" announcement from iL Douche (bag): Russia now has 50 days to agree to a cease fire before crippling secondary tariffs begin. More delay in punishment. This seems to me to be a Putin-esque stalling tactic by the Russian agent wannabe in the White House.
https://www.foxbusiness.com/politics/trump-pledges-very-severe-secondary-tariffs-targeting-russia-without-ceasefire-deal-50-days
Trump is an inveterate liar. It does not help to pay attention to what he says, but only to what he actually does. Thus far, except for the Iranian fiasco, iL Douche (bag) is still the TACO Commander in Chief.
Not even the "two more weeks" repeated excuse...
That is the natural cost of inflation. In the future it will be "50 more days" excuses.
IMO Trump does not care about Ukraine, he just cares about Israel and Iran. In his limited world (and mental) view the world is dominated by few superpowers and the others has to do what they say.
Because Israeli+USA bombs failed to destruct Iran's nuke program, Dumpf asked Putin to make Iran to give it up. Iran refused Putin proposal, of course, why they should listen, Putin just exploits them and never really helped them. So, Trump is upset about Putin because and want to press him through Ukraine. That's all. If Putin or anything else would solve that "Iran nuke issue", he would stop UA support again. Because what is worse than Iran nukes? When small countries does not obey superpowers.