Hello everybody! The situation is… a bit usual… bust mostly unusual. Sure, the politics surrounding this war – no matter where (i.e. from Moscow via Kyiv, Warsaw, Berlin, to London and Paris, and then all the way to Washington DC) – remains the ultimate mess. So, this part is ‘usual’.
So Russia is now figthing more careful and intelligent? The glide bombs Work enough, lets concentrate on that and not on attacking for another ten meters advance? Not sure if I like that, but the Solution is still obvious. More airdefence. That is clear. How to get that is of course another question. Not easily answered.
At an average of 4,000 rounds a day, it is enough to last about 6 months. Do you think that could help a lot to at least try to stop the Russian advance?. . . .
Thanks Tom! Have the Russians improved the range of their gliding bombs? And PSU has even stopped announcing downed jets. The Russians probably changed their tactics without losing on efficiency.
All of these bases around Taganrog are not far away. It’s a pity that western weapons can’t be used on them and it’s my understanding that most of the Groms and Tochika-U missiles targeted at them have been downed by the Russians (there was one early successful strike on Milerovo). Yet, the bases should be a prime target for drone attacks and Ukraine should have tripled its effort to develop a better missile. I mean it’s not about striking Moscow - these are places that are at most 50-60 kms further than the current range of Tochka-U and what is needed is a bit nimbler and faster missile to avoid Russian air defenses.
I think it’s high time for the Substack app to add a tool for editing messages.
It sounds really sad. Fortunately, it is no confirmation of successful Patriot destruction.I understand that every loss is awful , but only 20 dead and 50 wounded from such enormous firepower in day isn't the worst possible scenario. I wonder why did ZSU stopped to shot down Russians if they restored their massive strikes? Let's hope than we will hear about burning Russian plane again
A-ha, Bilenke... I have relatives still there. Interesting what are they targeting there (not the first time already). Didn't find anything interesting there (may be abandoned SAM site, but it's not in Bilenke Pershe, but from the other side of Bilenke (main). I know that Marievka to the north was also hit but there is nothing suspicious on the map there too...
Thanks Tom, this report makes things look not very good for the UAF solders , the Russians are bombing hell out of things, The UAF is going to have to do something about the air attacks
Russians truly excel when the task at hand is to kill as many people as possible to restore „Russian honor“. Imagine if they applied the same ambition and ingenuity to building sewage systems in their villages, or paved streets.
I remember seeing some pics with 2 Ukr Himars beeing unloaded in a US Airport, last month. I don't think they brought them al the way there to install leather seats and mahogany dashboards or because of a flat tire.
1) Which system detects the long-range SAMs that are fired towards the Russian aircraft? A50s are not there. Is it possible to blind it? If it is the airplane itself that detects being tracked by a missile's radar, can the missile first fly by coordinates and turn its radar only for the terminal stage?
2) If Russian jets are able to reliably dodge SAMs, is it possible for F16s to reliably avoid long-range air-to-air missiles?
UA has no chance in symmetrical war. Activities should be asymmetrical, like tonight for example: 50+ UAVs attacked Beriev plant (Be200 planes, modernization of A50/50U/100 planes), around 10 targeted. Part of equipment was damaged/destroyed, so russkies would need certain time (weeks, months, years) to recover.
UA produces enough UAVs to hit most productive and industrialized part of Russia, so metallurgical, chemical, optical, polymer plants have to be destroyed, damaged, stopped. More diversion groups, more agents and saboteurs. Pure extended partisan tactics. UA is very strong in such actions
Russian military is getting more resourceful by the day. They still have plenty of incompetent officers aber slowly but surely they are getting more dangerous.
By the time Macron shows up with his Grande Armée, Russia won't even have to resort to nukes.
At this point, even Ukraine with its logistical problems could wipe the floor with the combined European NATO militaries.
Tom do you have any info on the rumoured new Russian PGM ?
So Russia is now figthing more careful and intelligent? The glide bombs Work enough, lets concentrate on that and not on attacking for another ten meters advance? Not sure if I like that, but the Solution is still obvious. More airdefence. That is clear. How to get that is of course another question. Not easily answered.
If there is an increese the last week or so, it could also be a "revenge" for the naval and air losses of the last week.
Good night Tom, Thanks for the update . . . Financing for 800 rounds is already available according to the Czech president. (https://www.reuters.com/business/aerospace-defense/financing-set-buy-ammunition-ukraine-czech-president-says-2024-03-07/)
At an average of 4,000 rounds a day, it is enough to last about 6 months. Do you think that could help a lot to at least try to stop the Russian advance?. . . .
Thanks Tom! Have the Russians improved the range of their gliding bombs? And PSU has even stopped announcing downed jets. The Russians probably changed their tactics without losing on efficiency.
All of these bases around Taganrog are not far away. It’s a pity that western weapons can’t be used on them and it’s my understanding that most of the Groms and Tochika-U missiles targeted at them have been downed by the Russians (there was one early successful strike on Milerovo). Yet, the bases should be a prime target for drone attacks and Ukraine should have tripled its effort to develop a better missile. I mean it’s not about striking Moscow - these are places that are at most 50-60 kms further than the current range of Tochka-U and what is needed is a bit nimbler and faster missile to avoid Russian air defenses.
I think it’s high time for the Substack app to add a tool for editing messages.
It sounds really sad. Fortunately, it is no confirmation of successful Patriot destruction.I understand that every loss is awful , but only 20 dead and 50 wounded from such enormous firepower in day isn't the worst possible scenario. I wonder why did ZSU stopped to shot down Russians if they restored their massive strikes? Let's hope than we will hear about burning Russian plane again
A-ha, Bilenke... I have relatives still there. Interesting what are they targeting there (not the first time already). Didn't find anything interesting there (may be abandoned SAM site, but it's not in Bilenke Pershe, but from the other side of Bilenke (main). I know that Marievka to the north was also hit but there is nothing suspicious on the map there too...
Thanks Tom, this report makes things look not very good for the UAF solders , the Russians are bombing hell out of things, The UAF is going to have to do something about the air attacks
Спасибо, Том.
Russians truly excel when the task at hand is to kill as many people as possible to restore „Russian honor“. Imagine if they applied the same ambition and ingenuity to building sewage systems in their villages, or paved streets.
I remember seeing some pics with 2 Ukr Himars beeing unloaded in a US Airport, last month. I don't think they brought them al the way there to install leather seats and mahogany dashboards or because of a flat tire.
Thank you Tom. It is highly irritating when the Russian army/Air force do something right
1) Which system detects the long-range SAMs that are fired towards the Russian aircraft? A50s are not there. Is it possible to blind it? If it is the airplane itself that detects being tracked by a missile's radar, can the missile first fly by coordinates and turn its radar only for the terminal stage?
2) If Russian jets are able to reliably dodge SAMs, is it possible for F16s to reliably avoid long-range air-to-air missiles?
Thank you for the update. Is there any remedy for the glide bombs except shooting down Russian jets? And how it can be done if so?
UA has no chance in symmetrical war. Activities should be asymmetrical, like tonight for example: 50+ UAVs attacked Beriev plant (Be200 planes, modernization of A50/50U/100 planes), around 10 targeted. Part of equipment was damaged/destroyed, so russkies would need certain time (weeks, months, years) to recover.
UA produces enough UAVs to hit most productive and industrialized part of Russia, so metallurgical, chemical, optical, polymer plants have to be destroyed, damaged, stopped. More diversion groups, more agents and saboteurs. Pure extended partisan tactics. UA is very strong in such actions
Sullivan must be happy with this news.
Russian military is getting more resourceful by the day. They still have plenty of incompetent officers aber slowly but surely they are getting more dangerous.
By the time Macron shows up with his Grande Armée, Russia won't even have to resort to nukes.
At this point, even Ukraine with its logistical problems could wipe the floor with the combined European NATO militaries.
Tom do you have any info on the rumoured new Russian PGM ?
Some kind of glide bomb with an engine.
https://www.reddit.com/r/UkraineRussiaReport/comments/1b9rg41/ru_pov_a_new_type_of_upmc_bomb_was_found_by/