Hello everybody! Today, I’m ‘a little bit mad’, so let me get straight to the ‘Point 1’. Certain Tsarev - an Ukrainian with the IQ matching that of my boxer shorts that fled to Russia back in 2015 - has figured out how to post something highly interesting on the Telegram:
Factual and cool to the point. Respect! Great analysis.
The silence from western governments is deafening.
I have an observation or its just my perception that the majority of the ruzzians do not say with what Ukrainians blew up the dam. They just say “Ukrainians blew up” and that’s it. No ideas or hypothesis shared of how it was blew up.
And the most sad is that the ruzzians leverage all propagandists and agents they have in west. Most obvious case is Tucker Carlson and Musk. Tucker with no evidence just told that it was Ukrainians who blew up the dam and Musk shared that video with the comment it was good and fair point or smth like that. And people seriously considering that it was Ukrainians who blew up the dam and they do not need any proofs for that. This is very sad.
Would you say it is "damning" evidence?
This makes the most sense I have read since the event. Can you not post this on FB??
I would love to see this on "Global Military" site.
Tom, thank you for your great work, to bring some light to the dark. I do not know if I see something wrong, but the pictures and videos do not make sense to me. In the last aerial picture in the above post, the dam is clearly broken and missing to the edge of the (shipping) canal. In all the videos after the break, there is a wide section with buildings and road there at the right side, still solid and water level lower than those parts of the dam. Where did all that go, was there a second explosion later while the day?
Oleg Tsarev, one of the worst kind of traitors
Macron posted in Twitter yesterday that "France condemns this atrocious act, which is endangering populations. Within the next few hours, we will send aid to meet immediate needs."
Is there even an understanding the population is not just 'endangered'? People have already died by drowning, elderly people who could not leave their houses.. This is a rhetorical question of course...
And what gets me the most is zero actions so far. At least we don't see them. And it's been almost 3 days..
A bit confused about the word "Шушенской" (Shushenskoi) on that pic (center left). Does it have anything to do with the other dam in Russia? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sayano-Shushenskaya_Dam
I cannot see any other explanation but intentional explosive demolition for the destruction of two different sections of the dam at the same time.
BTW - I have witnessed three different consequent versions of events introduced by the ruzzian affiliated actors:
1. Olkha rockets (immediately after the event)
2. Natural destruction due to previous damage by HIMARS rockets last year.
3. Ukraine submersible drone triggering detonation of the explosives left by someone inside
Now this is the fourth one - combat divers...
Just like with the Malaysian boing - ruzzians dropping track load of versions to muddy the waters.
Ceterum censeo Russian esse delendam
Thank you for your update, Tom. Even though, Tcariov was a member of Ukrainian parliament (Rada) back 9 years ago, I can hardly name him as Ukrainian. It is typical pudding whore. ( Sorry for my French :-)
Best analysis I've seen so far.
The irony is: this won't have any effect on the offensive. It's really designed to say: "see? However bad our army was destroyed, we still inflicted horrible damage on Ukraine--or did we?" (Smiley face optional)
The only silver lining is that, once Russia is defeated, it's hard to see how Putin stays in power. And, as they say, there is no Russia without Putin.
Ceterum censeo Russia esse delendam
While I think you are correct, that HIMARS explanation is ridiculous, it makes zero sense that the Russians destroyed a dam they control which resulted in a flood which primarily affected land they control. If they wanted to flood land to prevent Ukrainian movement, all they had to do was open floodgates. Destroying it, removes their ability to control water level. Plus one of Russia stated goals is to insure supply of water to Crimea. Destroying the dam puts this at risk. Makes a lot more sense either the dam failed due to prior damage and lack of maintenance or Ukraine did it to drop water levels for an invasion alter in the summer. Strikes me as Nordstream II. Russia blowing up a pipeline they could simply close a valve to never made sense. I get that we all hate Putin, but that doesn’t mean we should check our brains at the door and not think about who benefits from an action.