Good morning everybody! As far I can figure out, we’re ‘mid’ through a relatively quiet phase on the ground – but in the middle of a particularly intensive period of air- and missile war. Think, it’s not wrong to say something like, ‘it began on 25 May’, when two oil pipelines – one in the Tverska, the other in the Pskovska Oblast of Russia – were, reportedly, hit by Ukrainian UAVs. The Russians claimed both UAVs were shot down or crashed without causing any damage.
Great work Tom, seeing the track of missiles crossing Belarus or it looks like they do, is it likely that they would fire more that would use Belarus airspace or cross over Belarus, one in the misguided hope that Ukraine would fire into there, bringing in Belarus acting all offended
Very interesting article, as usual. I got a question: how is Russia stock of cruise missiles going? I mean: I remember reading one of your articles a few months ago were you guessed the Russian stock of Kh missiles were close to run out. Are russian missiles factories still producing cruise missiles despite the tech import restrictions? Were existing russian missiles in stock more numerous than what was initially forecasted? Is Russia getting more of their Kh missiles back from allies?
Thanks for your dedication Tom, the quality of your job is very appreciated.
Big thanks for new informations. Is there any good reason to attack always Kyjiv, which is quite well protected? If they will attack other places they can have better results or? If they want UA to force spending air defence rocket it will be better to attack other places because now is UA spending lof of patriot, but UA has problem with S300 and other russia type, there should be enough patriots in the world. Are they attacking from Kaspian see so we don't see how much rocket doesn't work and fall down?
A lot of very useful information as usual. Many thanks for supporting Ukraine. Impatient to know your opinion about the attack at Moscow.
thanks for an article. Do you think they really could devastate the remaining Su-24 fleet in Starokonstantyniv (so someone there probably had messed up), or these would be more probably one of the non-airworthy examples (even this would be probably painful)?
"whenever there is an air raid alert, they are advised to go to shelters (even if, apparently, too many are still ignoring this)"
There is actually no way to not ignore these advises for the majority of Ukrainians because there is just not even close enough shelters. Something like 1/3rd of appartment buildings have a basement shelter, and even these "lucky" ones have enough room for about 1/2 of building's actual tenants. Special shelters are still even more rare things (and that's an authorities' fail - 1,5 years of missile strikes and still nearly nothing done in this regard); for example in Kyiv the most roomy shelters are still metro stations, and their capacity is about severl thousands... out of 3-4 mln city population, <0,1%.