Ukraine War, 27 September 2024: Part 1

Who dares wins – and who doesn’t, is a modern-day professional Politician in ‘the West’

Hello everybody!

I’m afraid I feel compelled to start my update for today with yet more of my expressions of amazement: this week I was nothing but mesmerised by sights and demonstrations of endless political incompetence in ‘the West’.

For example, right after Netanyahu walked out of a meeting with Biden – because the latter dared demanding a 21-days-long ceasefire in… not sure any more if it was the Gaza Strip, the Gaza Strip and Lebanon, the Gaza Strip and Lebanon, and Syria, and Yemen… and all of the Middle East… hard to say considering how eloquently has Bibi ‘spilled’ his ‘war on Hamas’ all over the entire geographic area…., Biden received Zelensky at the White House….so he could enjoy some of the latter granting him yet more patronising.

Now, gauging by how is Biden meanwhile treating journos working at the White House (but, certainly not Netanyahu), and that in public…well, don’t want to imagine how is he treating Zelensky ‘behind the closed doors’: that damn kiddo is not only refusing to lose that damn war in Ukraine, but also dares messing around with his plans and war-modelling at every opportunity!

In turn, I doubt I would be as diplomatic in Zelensky’s position, regardless the circumstances or what’s at stake: it’s far more likely I would end up treating Biden exactly like Netanyahu does. Like somebody that deserves being humiliated at every opportunity… in public, too.

Why?
Simply because it’s a matter of fact that it works. While Zelensky’s ‘diplomatic’ and ‘kind’ approach doesn’t.

But, that’s unimportant. What’s much more important: Biden pledged billions in military aid. No, not only for Israel: for Ukraine, too. Even issued direct presidential orders in this regards. Probably because his hands were tied, not his shoelaces, and thus he couldn’t do the same already months, if not years ago, and was then busy re-routing all the ammo to Israel, of course…. Point is: new arms to be shipped to Ukraine are going to include AGM-154 JASSM stand-off missiles for PSU’s F-16AMs, and ammunition for HIMARS and armoured vehicles and much, much more….

As usually, Trump is going to counter that not only US§ 300 billion, but 2-5 Trillion are being wasted in Ukraine, while actually, 90%+ of the money in question is going to be spent in the USA. However, even that is unimportant: what is important is that – based on experiences over the last 2,5 years - nobody (whether in the USA or abroad) can say if anything of this is actually going to be delivered (to Ukraine), nor by when; even less so if the flow of aid (to Ukraine) is going to be continued past January 2025 (that to Israel is secured, don’t worry). And nobody is accountable. But hey: why bother? The social media considers it for done; the mainstream media has some ‘good news’ and ‘sensations’, and everybody’s happy now. At least as important is that now everybody has something to quote. See, Biden said, ‘Russia is not going to win this war: Ukraine is going to win.’

Oh yes, that’s certain. Point is: certainly not thanks to the Trio Fantasticus or the USA…

***

Whoever might expect it’s anything better on the eastern side of the ‘Great Barn’… say, some 4,000 or so kilometres east: it’s not. For example, hard on heels of van der Leyen announcing a ‘staggering’ €40 million in aid for repairs of critical infra-structure in Ukraine, the Netherlands is following with a similar pledge: €200+ million for repairs of critical infra-structure….

Isn’t that great?

Of course it is! They’re going to repair critical infra-structure in Ukraine, so Russia can destroy the same – because the EU didn’t deliver air defence systems and missiles necessary to protect the same (sure: Biden said USA are going to deliver another – one [in digits: 1] – Patriot SAM-system but, alas, this first has to be refurbished…). So they can then announce another air package for repairs of critical infra-structure, perhaps even actually provide the money and repair the same, and then the Russians are going to destroy it again…

Now, lean back and take a deep breath. Think of it. Is there any better scheme for endless laundering of taxpayer’s money into pockets of oligarchy, in turn securing endless profit – on the Wall Street, for example?

For the start: all the zombie idiots in question ‘did something’. Nobody can deny that. Secondly, everything is perfectly legal. Thirdly: they can say they have either created or at least secured jobs. And, fourthly: nobody is accountable.

With other words: it’s exactly the same scheme that worked such miracles already in Afghanistan and Iraq. For 20 years in each case.

So, why not in Ukraine, too?

What am I talking about….?

Well, 40+200 million might not sound as much. But, that’s ‘just for this month’: don’t worry, much more is to follow. And then think of it: banks – which are already sitting on hundreds of billions of ‘frozen’ Russian money – are going to earn from all the endless wire-transfers for equipment for Ukrainian critical infra-structure that’s going to be destroyed by Russian missiles, plus processing acquisitions of necessary replacements, which are going to be destroyed, too, requiring yet more replacements and repairs... Insurances are going to earn from insuring the production and transportation of this equipment and the people involved. Industry is going to earn from acquiring, manufacturing and delivering equipment that’s going to be destroyed (for which it must lend from banks), and then from delivering replacements – all of which is great news for the transportation and services sectors, too… while, which is most important of course, stock exchanges can keep on earning from gambling about who’s going to earn the msot… and mind: the EU and its members can go on like this forever.

And you, dear taxpayer, are then going to be distracted – through entertainment like Champions League, NFL, or Formula 1. So that the sports and media can earn, too…

Simply perfect.

Can’t help it: in the media, every day we get to hear about ‘organised crime’. Hand on heart: that’s nothing in comparison. At most it’s a problem because the majority of those involved are not paying taxes from that type of business. While banks, insurances etc. ‘do’. Actually, its banks, insurances, and the industry that are the true ‘organised crime’. Indeed: state-sanctioned, perfectly organised crime, wearing suits cut by best tailors and sponsored by your taxpayer’s money. In comparison, instances like Mexican and Colombian cartels, or the notorious Italian ‘mafia/cosa nostra’ – are all bloody amateurs busying themselves with peanuts.

Not that it’s going to change anything at all, but: let me remind everybody that the practice of stifling on ideas that so obviously do not work, and have nothing in common with reality, is a definition of a dogmatic, failed ideology.

***

AIR/MISSILE WAR

After running at least three major UAV strikes on three different ammo depots in Russia – which, according to different estimates, might have destroyed up to 80,000 tons of artillery ammunition, rockets and missiles – Ukraine took a few days off in this regards. Obviously, the output of the UAV industry is still not sufficient to keep the rate of such attacks at the necessary levels.

Which reminds me of something I intended to cover already the last weekend, but did not manage to do for lack of time. Namely, RUMINT has it that – sometimes the last week – the People’s Republic of China imposed strict limitations on export of UAV-related equipment and spares to Ukraine (while at the same time reinforcing its exports of contraband to Russia). Accordingly, the Chinese de-facto cut off the export of crucial parts for Ukrainian UAVs. RUMINT also has it, this promptly resulted in a major problem with production of UAVs and – especially – FPVs in Ukraine. And that it’s going to take months to solve..

Just one example for all the kind of parts, assemblies, and sub-assemblies installed into every single UAV, and widely imported by Ukraine from the PR China in the last 2,5 years..

Man, what a beautiful example for competent authorities bringing brilliant and timely decisions based on endless wisdom and far-sight…

But, hand on heart: why should Ukraine do better than when the US Navy is buying Chinese chips and sub-assemblies for its aircraft carriers and Boeing F/A-18E/F Super Hornet fighter-bombers..?

Moreover: hey: that’s just me, and my usual hogwash. Exactly the same like few weeks ago, when I’ve reported that the Telegram has been compromised – and nobody [in Ukraine] ‘believed’ that. People were stunned and writing me private messages and e-mails with content like, ‘no way’. Obviously, the Ukrainian authorities banning the use of that social media platform is a clear confirmation that I was wrong…

Ah well…Yes, I’m ranting once again… but, heck: what shall I do amid all of this super-competence, ultra-wise decision-making with far-sight all the way to Saturn, and this kind of incredibly highly professional strategy – all of which are promising to end this war in a matter of hours….

OK. Then lets do something that’s making so much more sense: like quoting PSU’s claims for interceptions of yet additional Russian UAVs…

24 Sep: 66 Shaheds claimed as shot down, other 13 as jammed.

25 Sep: 4 Kh-59/69 and 28 Shaheds claimed as shot down.

26 Sep: 4 Kh-59/69 and 66 (out of 78) Shaheds..

What exactly was hit by Shades that did get through… I doubt even the heaven knows any more. Simply because it’s hard to keep a track through trying to call people and cross-check related reporting in the social media any more: official Kyiv remains zip-lip about this.

Thus, lets talk about something else. For example, please mind that each one of at least about 30-40% of these interceptions mean that the PSU has spent at least one (1) surface-to-air missile.

Correspondingly, the PSU is spending, say, 10-30 SAMs every single day - and that at the times all of ‘the Western’ industry is turning out some 10-30 a week.

Isn’t that highly promising?

Let me distract you from unpleasant thoughts: look, a wonderful photo of Ukrainian-made MIM-23 HAWK SAM-decoys!

….better I switch over to ground warfare: that’s to follow in the Part 2.

(…to be continued…)