57 Comments

Thanks Tom. I know you are overloaded but can’t stop myself asking you another unrelated to your article but not to the topic question: any news on the assault yesterday on Avdiivka by the Russians? It seems they put again a big column in motion but did they have any (partial) success? The video that several ZSU channels published was not very conclusive

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Jan 16Liked by Sarcastosaurus

Thank you, very informative update

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Jan 16Liked by Sarcastosaurus

Thanks Tom, we really appreciate how you explain the events . . . .kind regards

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Also, it should be noted, it's the first case when AEW was shot down.

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To add to the historical picture: since the Il-20/22 are based on the very old Il-18 civilian passenger aircraft (roughly equivalent to a Lockheed Electra) RF had a project that was to develop substitutes based on the Tu-204. Again basically nothing moved also in this case. Plus the solution was always “let’s pack everything in 3 planes instead of one”.

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Jan 16Liked by Sarcastosaurus

Fantastic explainer, really appreciate your articles!

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Jan 16Liked by Sarcastosaurus

Thanks for the great lesson on things I didn’t know I didn’t know but am glad I now do (to a small extent)

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Jan 16Liked by Sarcastosaurus

If someone wants more Tom, Youtube has a fresh video with them.

https://youtu.be/NJw7AtXp1eE?si=ZH4b1Tx9SHUuUqa1

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(Banned)Jan 16·edited Jan 16

As always, thanks for the information and explanation. I would like to ask that you refrain from calling the situation in Gaza, etc. "genocide". The term is very popular right now but is also very misconstrued and very emotionally charged to anyone remembering the Holocaust. The UN excludes acts of war against a political group from the definition of genocide which seems to apply to the Israeli action against political group, not the people who are unfortunate victims. It does include acts against religious groups, so I wonder if the definition will need to be somehow revised in light of the current situation. How can you have a war against an enemy whose core religious belief includes extermination of your people/country without it being labelled "genocide"? The rule was written to prevent another Holocaust but seemingly failed to anticipate the Shia/Sunni hatred or the Islam vs. Christianity hatred.

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Jan 16Liked by Sarcastosaurus

Thank you very much. It is lovely to follow your thinking. Thank you for all the efforts you put into your work.

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Jan 16Liked by Sarcastosaurus

Спасибо

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Jan 16Liked by Sarcastosaurus

Thank you, Tom, this is supremely clear, concise snd enlightening. Much appreciated, as ever.

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Anothe example of well researched and informative post, Tom.

Also, another example how routine respond movements goes against itself (and how ingenious Ukrainians are).

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Is my understanding correct, that Patriot needs continuously illuminate the target until the interceptor either hits or misses the target?

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Thanks Tom!

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Very good analysis, learned a lot. There's a lot of unpack here as well. Like what did the Ukrainians use to hit Crimea, and How possible is it for Russia to put the other operational AEW A-50s back in service. It seems likely they'll have to put a lot of money into the other 2 and keep them operational but this is a huge loss.

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