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Do we have any sense about how much of Ukraine’s offensive capabilities remain after this summer? How long can they feasibly push at the same rate in the Tokmak direction?

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Hello Tom,

Would you please contact the Substack moderators to find out why they banned Ivan Bajlo? All his comments were deleted after he posted several historical documents that were showing that USSR's military industry during WW2 was running on raw materials provided by the USA for free. A day later he followed me with a message "For some heinous act banned from commenting on substack forever :-p", then his profile was deleted.

This looks very much like the crowdbanning the Russian trolls used against Ukrainian posters on LinkedIn and Facebook. They make a hundred of accounts report one of the user's posts as offensive, and the user is banned by the social network's engine without any judgement from the moderators.

Thanks.

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...2023...not 2013 😁

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Thanks for the update Tom. Lately there is no mention about 92 Mech, any idea where are they? And now when there was FB friends clensing maybe you could accept some of us who are in waiting room? :D

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What % of VDV forces is left of those that were thrown to fight in Zaporizhia

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Thank you, Tom, for your tireless coverage.

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Thank you as always Tom. A far more comprehensive assessment of the latest Russian attempted pincer attack. One surprise perhaps to me is the impression (at least from a little footage that I have seen) of Russian helicopter operations. I have not seen footage or reports of losses, what conclusion do you drawer from this confidence in use? Or are the videos taken outside the envelope of Ukrainian MANPADS coverage and look more impressive than effective.

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Many thanks also from me. Obviously busy times for you and giving all of those conflicts are causing tremendous pain and suffering, for sure a burden for all those, which deep dive and view all the violent videos/pics

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Oct 11, 2023Liked by Sarcastosaurus

Most recent satellite imagery shows extensive naval presence in Sevastopol.

You might want to see these CIT reports on Russian (2022) mobilization, the second one being just released. They also compiled a spreadsheet of "at least 123 different units were created as part of the mobilization, with the real number likely higher still. The majority of these units, 77, were nominally classified as motorized rifle regiments. We also found references for 18 separate motorized rifle battalions, five engineer-sapper regiments, five tank regiments, as well as seven artillery regiments and 11 artillery battalions."

https://notes.citeam.org/mobi-in-russia-1

https://notes.citeam.org/mobi-in-russia-2

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Thank you for the update Tom.

Do you have any itention why the Russians used those forces to counterattack here and not supporting the forces in the Robotyne salient?

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Thanks for the update!

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Oct 11, 2023Liked by Sarcastosaurus

Many thanks for the update, Tom. Is a nice thing to see orcs being sended back to their starting positions (and left -temporary- all the Putin fans without words after bragging about the “unstoppable” Russian counterattack)

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Thank you for the update.

- the uncontested low level presence of RuAF choppers in the Avdiivka area is not good sight. Up till now at least in MANPADS there were no shortage (as there weren't plenty of targets), but now they looked like flying at will.

- I have a pretty well scaled meter on the VSRF moves - the Hindustan Times YT channel. They cheer the smallest advance and everything is devastating, fatal, catastrophyc to the ZSU. So when there were NO videos about the clashes around Avdiivka, I was sure it went south in big fashion.

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Oct 11, 2023Liked by Sarcastosaurus

Thanks for the update. If the Nato headquarters people could understand more... yes, lets hope.

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Oct 11, 2023Liked by Sarcastosaurus

This morning we were impressed and delighted by Russian losses reported by Ukrainian media. I simply did not believe my own eyes. It seems Putler is a fan of Stalin's style of military operations: beating one's head on the wall. Thanks for the update. Slava Ukraini!

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Oct 11, 2023·edited Oct 11, 2023Liked by Sarcastosaurus

I always thought the length of time for conversion to F-16 talk was kinda ridiculous. I'm reminded of what a west German fighter pilot said about flying the first time in the MiG-29, and how it compared to the F-4 to which he said...."it's a fighter jet". People forget how war necessitates a faster pace of learning and adaptability. In WW2 fighter pilots had to potentially learn 2 or even 4 different aircraft, over the course of the war and each with new engines and systems that could be vastly different from what they had prior.

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