A timely note… The US cutting off Ukraine from military aid can “cut” both ways. No doubt CEOs from all over the US are contacting their counterparts at the Pentagon, possibly even the president himself. They are registering their concerns. More later on what those “concerns” might be.
I. Introduction
The Ukrainian Delta system has proven itself as a functional, combat-tested battlefield management tool, while Western command-and-control systems continue to struggle with implementation and effectiveness (US Army's TITAN). Delta integrates various data streams into a single interface, providing real-time situational awareness that has been indispensable in Ukraine’s defense against Russian aggression. Its effectiveness raises questions about why Western systems like CJADC2 have yet to reach a similar level of operational capability. Additionally, Ukraine's battlefield provides a real-world testing ground for advanced AI/ML systems, including Palantir’s analytics, which are now influencing U.S. military programs. At the same time, NATO is actively learning from Ukraine’s digital warfare innovations.
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II. Delta: A Proven System Where Western Models Struggle
Necessity as the Mother of Innovation
Unlike NATO and U.S. command-and-control systems, which have been slowed by bureaucracy and interoperability challenges, Delta has been shaped directly by battlefield needs. Ukraine's immediate need for a fully integrated, real-time command-and-control platform forced it to develop and deploy Delta at a rapid pace, with constant refinements based on battlefield feedback. In contrast, the U.S. CJADC2 framework remains in the development stage and struggles with practical application.
Integration and Interoperability Success
Delta integrates satellite data, drone reconnaissance, frontline reports, radar data, and electronic warfare (EW) feeds into a single, accessible interface that operates securely across all military branches. Unlike Western CJADC2 initiatives, which have struggled with legacy system integration, Delta functions in the field now and provides actionable intelligence that directly influences combat operations. Moreover, Delta is designed to be compatible with NATO's Link 16 communications, allowing real-time connectivity with Western aircraft such as F-16s.
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Adaptability to AI and Machine Learning (ML) Systems
Delta has also embraced AI-driven automation for intelligence gathering. Ukraine’s Avengers AI platform enhances Delta's ability to identify enemy targets autonomously, reducing human cognitive load and decision-making time. This is a significant leap forward, as AI-driven decision-support systems are still being tested in NATO and U.S. military programs. Ukraine’s battlefield has proven that AI-driven target acquisition and intelligence processing are not just theoretical concepts but practical necessities.
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III. Palantir’s Role: A Battlefield Lab for U.S. AI Warfare
Palantir’s Involvement in Ukraine
Palantir, a leading AI-powered analytics company, has been deeply involved in Ukraine’s military intelligence operations. CEO Alex Karp has publicly stated that Palantir’s technology underpins a significant portion of Ukraine’s targeting intelligence. The company's software aggregates and analyzes battlefield data, combining satellite imagery, drone footage, and human intelligence to create an accurate, real-time picture of enemy positions.
Using Ukraine as a Testing Ground for U.S. Military Systems
Palantir’s extensive involvement in Ukraine has allowed the company to refine its AI-driven battlefield analytics tools under real-world combat conditions. The U.S. Army has since awarded Palantir a $480 million contract to develop battlefield AI analysis tools, a direct consequence of lessons learned in Ukraine. This project, known as the Maven Smart System, is the next evolution of the U.S. military’s AI integration and owes much to Palantir’s Ukraine experience.
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IV. NATO’s Learning Curve: Delta’s Impact on Western Military Thinking
Delta's Interoperability with NATO Command-and-Control
Ukraine has showcased the effectiveness of AI-enhanced command-and-control systems in a way that no NATO member has before. At NATO’s Coalition Warrior Interoperability eXercise (CWIX), Delta was tested for its ability to integrate with NATO’s broader command-and-control network. The results proved that Ukraine is not only a consumer of Western military technology but also a pioneer in digital battlefield management.
NATO Adopting Ukraine’s Digital Warfare Lessons
Ukraine has provided NATO with an unprecedented case study on AI-driven warfare. NATO officials now recognize that the integration of AI into battlefield management accelerates decision-making and increases operational agility. In response, NATO is exploring ways to incorporate Delta’s capabilities into joint planning operations, marking a shift in how the alliance approaches digital warfare.
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V. Cybersecurity and the Future of Delta
Successful NATO-Standard Cybersecurity Evaluation
Delta recently passed a NATO-standard cybersecurity audit, proving its resilience against cyber threats and Russian EW tactics. This validation enhances its credibility and opens doors for potential NATO adoption.
Scalability Beyond Ukraine
As discussions continue about integrating Delta into NATO joint planning operations, the system’s scalability could make it a model for rapidly deployable command-and-control platforms in future conflicts. NATO rapid-response forces and allied training programs could benefit from Delta’s battle-tested AI and real-time intelligence-sharing capabilities.
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VI. Key Takeaways
Delta has outperformed many Western command-and-control initiatives due to its combat-driven necessity and rapid adaptability. Meanwhile, Palantir is leveraging its experience in Ukraine to build the next generation of U.S. military AI systems, further cementing the significance of Ukraine's digital battlefield. NATO is actively learning from Ukraine’s AI/ML integration, and its collaboration with Ukraine could influence the future of Western command-and-control frameworks. The war in Ukraine has underscored a key lesson: necessity drives innovation far faster than bureaucracy, a reality NATO and the U.S. must acknowledge as they modernize their own military capabilities.
Benjamin Cook continues to travel to, often lives in, and works in Ukraine, a connection spanning more than 14 years. He holds an MA in International Security and Conflict Studies from Dublin City University and has consulted with journalists on AI in drones, U.S. military technology, and related topics. He is co-founder of the nonprofit UAO, working in southern Ukraine. You can find Mr. Cook between Odesa, Ukraine; Charleston, South Carolina; and Tucson, Arizona. Mr. Cook’s Substack:
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Bibliography
CSIS. Does Ukraine Already Have Functional CJADC2 Technology? https://www.csis.org/analysis/does-ukraine-already-have-functional-cjadc2-technology
NATO ACT. Delta System at CWIX. https://www.act.nato.int/article/delta-system-cwix/
MOD Ukraine. Ukrainian Ministry of Defense Demonstrates Delta to NATO. https://mod.gov.ua/news/
National Defense Magazine. AI for War and Peacetime: A Ukrainian Perspective. https://www.nationaldefensemagazine.org/articles/2024/11/1/viewpoint-ai-for-war-and-peacetime-a-ukrainian-perspective
Time. Tech Companies Turned Ukraine Into an AI War Lab. https://time.com/6691662/ai-ukraine-war-palantir/
CDOMagazine. Palantir to Develop Battlefield Analysis AI Tools for U.S. Army. https://www.cdomagazine.tech/us-federal-news-bureau/palantir-to-develop-battlefield-analysis-ai-tools-for-us-army
Euromaidan Press. NATO Officials Praise Ukraine’s Delta Combat System. https://euromaidanpress.com/2024/07/14/nato-officials-praise-innovative-ukrainian-delta-combat-system/
More of this! From early in the war I noticed that even the smallest bum-fuck bunker in Ukraine had some sort of computer. Now it's many computers and electronic devices. The other thing I noticed early on is how Ukrainians would tinker with every thing they could find. Old car, old heavy machine gun--some Ukrainian will make a happy marriage of the two.
I'll keep saying it, the "competency" of Ukrainian tinkerers is a serious equalizer to Russian military doctrine. I bet most Russian new tech is from China or North Korea--Asians. However, the Asians will sell to Ukraine too so I believe innovation will continue from the Ukrainian side first.
Trump is a bump in the road, using Ukraine as an attack vector on Biden and the woke party. All domestic politics. It will pass.
The Ukrainians won't stop inventing.
Maybe I'm just an old tinkerer projecting ;)
Thanks for this analysis. I am sure you are right in describing the speed of innovation and the value of the Ukrainian research and development. However I doubt the pressure from military intelligence will stop Trump. And Trump doesn’t even care if US is hurt. As long as it doesn’t hurt him.