Thank you for this. I understand the slowness of Russian advance. Still, Ukrainian victory can first come when they manage not only to stop this advance, but reverse it. Of course that will happen through a prolonged attrition where all kinds of attacks and defenses are included. But it must be stopped. Also because thus is the last glimpse of hope for Russia. Like: «We are advancing, we must be winning.»
Attacking an enemy requires a local superiority at least 2:1 at the pressure point ("schwerpunkt" in German military parlance, if I am not mistaken).
And that requires a large amount of weapons and ammunition and personnel positioned in the necessary places, without being observed by reconnaissance drones.
I see you're proud of striking metal. Meanwhile, you mutilate prisoners like Gestapo — branding words into living flesh. Is that your "glory"? All that power, used against a bound, unarmed man. It’s not just barbarism — it’s cowardice encoded in your DNA.
It might be even worse for the Black Sea Fleet than you describe. In the link below there is a detailed breakdown (pun intended) of the condition of its Kilo submarines. Here's some quotes about one of them:
"Also, in the 4th [submarine] brigade (military unit 80515) there is a morally and physically obsolete submarine "Alrosa", which is not capable of performing combat missions (launching missiles), the units and assemblies of the boat are falling apart, when going out to sea It smokes terribly, like the infamous aircraft carrier "Kuznetsov", but despite all this it continues to be in service... The boat was sponsored by the Russian diamond mining company Alrosa, which promotes military service to youths from Yakutia as an alternative to crime, drugs and alcoholism. It's reputed to be the world's only combat submarine named after a company. However, "Alrosa" has been plagued by technical problems for years. Thus the crew sabotage. Nothing has changed since the Kursk, save the corruption being endemic. And if the crews don't get em, Ukraine will."
Taking that "study" seriously is like judging humanity based on Youtube recommendation feed. It's a pre-selected set of videos, calculating percentages from that is pure idiocy. Kinda disappointed you even mention it.
Thank you especially for the info of sabotage on Russian ships in the Black Sea.
Thank you for this. I understand the slowness of Russian advance. Still, Ukrainian victory can first come when they manage not only to stop this advance, but reverse it. Of course that will happen through a prolonged attrition where all kinds of attacks and defenses are included. But it must be stopped. Also because thus is the last glimpse of hope for Russia. Like: «We are advancing, we must be winning.»
From what we saw in Kursk, drones have made life very miserable for attackers, in both sides of the war.
When Ukraine tried to extend their incursion in Kursk without adequate anti-drone measure, they suffered quite badly.
Until they find a way to combat that menace, it'll be really hard for them to reverse the trend of giving land for killed attackers
Nothing of this is easy.
If it was easy, it would've been done already...
Attacking an enemy requires a local superiority at least 2:1 at the pressure point ("schwerpunkt" in German military parlance, if I am not mistaken).
And that requires a large amount of weapons and ammunition and personnel positioned in the necessary places, without being observed by reconnaissance drones.
The attack on the bridge caused the first ever use of Lancets against UA sea drones that were supporting the attack.
https://t.me/faceofwar/47941
I see you're proud of striking metal. Meanwhile, you mutilate prisoners like Gestapo — branding words into living flesh. Is that your "glory"? All that power, used against a bound, unarmed man. It’s not just barbarism — it’s cowardice encoded in your DNA.
It might be even worse for the Black Sea Fleet than you describe. In the link below there is a detailed breakdown (pun intended) of the condition of its Kilo submarines. Here's some quotes about one of them:
"Also, in the 4th [submarine] brigade (military unit 80515) there is a morally and physically obsolete submarine "Alrosa", which is not capable of performing combat missions (launching missiles), the units and assemblies of the boat are falling apart, when going out to sea It smokes terribly, like the infamous aircraft carrier "Kuznetsov", but despite all this it continues to be in service... The boat was sponsored by the Russian diamond mining company Alrosa, which promotes military service to youths from Yakutia as an alternative to crime, drugs and alcoholism. It's reputed to be the world's only combat submarine named after a company. However, "Alrosa" has been plagued by technical problems for years. Thus the crew sabotage. Nothing has changed since the Kursk, save the corruption being endemic. And if the crews don't get em, Ukraine will."
https://bsky.app/profile/chriso-wiki.bsky.social/post/3lqxcf4rjzh2u
Taking that "study" seriously is like judging humanity based on Youtube recommendation feed. It's a pre-selected set of videos, calculating percentages from that is pure idiocy. Kinda disappointed you even mention it.
Russian coal industry is loosing 1 billion RBL a day, Russian gov. fears miners rpotests, like in the 1990s https://www.moscowtimes.ru/2025/06/10/milliard-rublei-vden-ubitki-ugolnoi-promishlennosti-rossii-ustanovili-istoricheskii-rekord-a165835
I imagine that regarding smoke what is meant is that the 67% chance becomes 0,67*1,32 = 0,8844 = 88%.
Yes, thats what I thought also. There is a BiiiG difference between calculating with "per cent" and "per cent points"