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Apr 21
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Donald Hill's avatar

They were are from one thread on X. I linked them.

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James Touza's avatar

Thanks Don! It seems like it’s now or never for the VSRF, what with Business Insider Genius unintentionally gutting the Russian economy with sinking crude prices.

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Donald Hill's avatar

Oil production is another big factor. How long it stays elevated is unknown.

Iran and Russia have both been producing a lot to acquires market share. Another OPEC country was also exceeding their agreed upon quota. Saudi Arabia finally had it. Their sole objective is to increase their market share and whatever happens to Russia isn't a priority to them.

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Balint's avatar

We see a lot of understrength battalion (company) reckon by force, which we report out as failure and then after a week or so the Russians are advancing nevertheless...at this point I do not see how could the Ukrainian Military command achieve the most critical task of any attrition war - making the war unsistainable on the Russian side - attacking Toretsk or keeping a district or two in Casiv Jár is already a degraded defence position - ín a situation like this committing resources on Belgorod rather than dealing with the Kupjansk bridgehead and the Lyman Izyum axis (which is the key to degrade the Slavjansk Kramatorsk agglomerate ín a pincer ( w Casiv Jár as elevated point) - finally with the Corp structure they focus on right area defence but they still do not focus on protecting better Ukrainian human resources (1:1.5 is not a good KIA ratio on Ukrainian side...)

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Nick Fotis's avatar

the lack of "boots on the ground" is only partially covered by the deadliness of the drones in defense position. If Ukraine wants to attack and reverse the route of the war, they seriously need to get more trained troops

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