8 Comments

Some (Daily Kos) think that the Russian manoeuvres around Pokrovsk/Vuhlevar amount to a major success. Is there any room for a more optimistic assessment?

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Are the Russian advances there good for Ukraine? Absolutely not. But it cost the Russians a lot. There's a lot of Ukraine left. And Russia is running out of time. The long term trends favor Ukraine.

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I would like to think so. It irks me to read about the possibility of losing Vuhledar after more than two years of defending the place, though

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Dear Don.

How Do You think, how long russia could have possibilites to make offensive on the Donbass ?

What about quantities of operative and strategic reserve of russian, what it could add to this offensive?

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Russia has enough personnel and material to continue offensive actions for quite some time. The strength of the offensive actions should weaken with time, and the number of locations where they conduct offensive actions should also be reduced over time.

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My guess is that Russia (as long as they are supplied by North Korea, Iran and China) can sustain this tempo of operations for at least one year

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Thank you so much.

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Thanks Don on to #3

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