Thank you Don for the report. As long as his Army is advancing, I don't see Putin agreeing to anything. Counterattacks are missing, as you say> Ukraine must find a way to do this.
Thanks Don. I hope the strikes on the RU military industrial complex and means of petrochemical extraction become more frequent, effective and deeper. It won't end the war, but it would create opportunities that Ukraine can exploit.
Yes, but I fear Russia will still be able to dig in and just hold on if their MI & logistics ends up being totally smashed. Still, the clock is always ticking for Russia - internally. Some say Putin will deal with this by entirely militarising society...
The biggest pressue on Russia isn't military, it's economic. As is, with sanctions in place, their economy regresses. If there are additional drone attacks over time and more sanctions and it will regress faster. The military will be shielded as much as possible, which means the citizens will face most of the effects.
Yes but my point is - and then what? Putin is conditioning his population to bear all of that - to go through a great struggle again because they face an existential threat, bla bla bla. I don't see much evidence of the public toppling him any time soon and it may never happen if he manages to transform society quickly enough
Russian railroads would not "collapse", because it's a state company and Russia depends very much on in. But it's services would gradually decline. And Russia gov. would have compensate the losses somehow, maybe covertly how they are doing with e.g. banks already.
Russian railroads are "TBTF" - too big to fail. If they fail, whole country fails (and maybe fails apart). Russian military depends on railroads. So, Russian gov have no other choice that to pour money to the railroads to keep it going.
Thank you Don for the report. As long as his Army is advancing, I don't see Putin agreeing to anything. Counterattacks are missing, as you say> Ukraine must find a way to do this.
Thanks Don. I hope the strikes on the RU military industrial complex and means of petrochemical extraction become more frequent, effective and deeper. It won't end the war, but it would create opportunities that Ukraine can exploit.
The longer the war goes on, the more impact the Ukrainian drones will have.
Yes, but I fear Russia will still be able to dig in and just hold on if their MI & logistics ends up being totally smashed. Still, the clock is always ticking for Russia - internally. Some say Putin will deal with this by entirely militarising society...
The biggest pressue on Russia isn't military, it's economic. As is, with sanctions in place, their economy regresses. If there are additional drone attacks over time and more sanctions and it will regress faster. The military will be shielded as much as possible, which means the citizens will face most of the effects.
Yes but my point is - and then what? Putin is conditioning his population to bear all of that - to go through a great struggle again because they face an existential threat, bla bla bla. I don't see much evidence of the public toppling him any time soon and it may never happen if he manages to transform society quickly enough
I have no idea what will happen or when.
Russian railroads would not "collapse", because it's a state company and Russia depends very much on in. But it's services would gradually decline. And Russia gov. would have compensate the losses somehow, maybe covertly how they are doing with e.g. banks already.
Not being able to pay for themselves is an issue.
Russian railroads are "TBTF" - too big to fail. If they fail, whole country fails (and maybe fails apart). Russian military depends on railroads. So, Russian gov have no other choice that to pour money to the railroads to keep it going.
Yes the bailouts and buy-outs will continue until they are back to an entirely command/Soviet style economy. Sprinting backwards at top speed...