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Jun 24, 2023Liked by Sarcastosaurus

Thanks for keeping us updated on this event, Tom. This will be super interesting in so many ways.

I know this has come up a lot but let's say it one more time. This is certainly the best adaptation of Red Storm Rising.

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Jun 24, 2023Liked by Sarcastosaurus

Wagner won the first 24 hours.

The next 24 hours will be crucial.

And every outcome is beneficial for Ukraine.

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Jun 24, 2023Liked by Sarcastosaurus

For how long can the Russian army in Ukraine survive without the supply route to Russia? Rostov seems to be the main hub, the only other option seems to be Volgograd-Astrahan-Krasnodar-Crimea which is way way longer.

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Really great news! Anyway this coup d`etat creates chaos in Russia highly favorable to Ukraine. Surely Prigozhin is no better than Putler but he is not interested in the war in Ukraine in such a way as Putler. From the comments in Russian media we can conclude that even "Russian patriots" are mostly tired of the war and want to stop it somehow.

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Thank you! Excellent analysis!

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Taganrog is my hometown but I don't live there anymore. Anyway, I haven't seen anything in local publics. It looks like they are just in RnD.

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Are you sure he wants to oust Putin. I think he might be going for a Shogun/ emperor type situation. It solves the legitmacy question and same outcome.

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Jun 24, 2023Liked by Sarcastosaurus

I've seen it suggested that the GRU has been anti-Putin for a long time for his attempts to reduce its authority, and is currently assisting Prigozhin. Naturally, we will find out much more about where this event stands within the day.

...

"Thomas van Linge

@ThomasVLinge

In April experts were warning that Prigozhin is another Hemedti and that the war in Sudan was an omen for what was to come in Russia.

Who would have thought they would be proven right within two months?

2:53 PM · Jun 23, 2023"

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Jun 24, 2023·edited Jun 24, 2023

Interesting new title, Civil War in Russia. If this move was planned for several days, I guess then that some secret services know about it and agreed with it. Let's see how it develops. What is weird is that they are not fighting each other yet.

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Have no other comments than this 🍿🍿🍿

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I have a feeling that this might not be the PlanA that Prigozhin had in mind. Recall that Wagner demanded to be deployed in Belgorod back in early June, which is much closer to Moscow than Rostov.

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Thanks, Tom, for the update. Seems the next days should be a box of surprises. Anyway, open some opportunities to Ukraine that hope they use.

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It is obvious that Prigozhin showed himself as soon as the Ukrainian Armed Forces inflicted damage on the Chongarsky bridge. It follows that everything was thought out in advance in order to reduce the supply routes for Ros. troops in Ukraine.

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Jun 24, 2023Liked by Sarcastosaurus

Thank you Tom for this update, still tuned in

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