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Valdis Filks's avatar

very good update. Please could you provide your analysis of the situation where Sweden was told not to supply Gripen fighter jets so that Ukraine can concentrate on get F16s active. But then France will supply Mirage jets to Ukraine which will not stop Ukraine from getting F16s ready. Why are French Mirage jets for Ukraine OK but not Swedish jets? Is this just French posturing. Even if it is it has stopped very good low maintenance easy to implement and protect Gripen jets, which can land and park in diverse and hidden places, plus are more low cost and faster to re-arm, refuel, maintain and service.

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ZenithA's avatar

Dear Tom, thank you for the update!

Regarding KABs, probably went unnoticed ZSU started to publish daily stats. You can find those in first operational report of the day:

"According to detailed information, yesterday the enemy launched a total of 3 missile strikes using 4 missiles, 66 air strikes (in particular, dropped 94 KABs), launched more than 3,800 artillery strikes, 100 of them from MLRS."

https://www.zsu.gov.ua/category/news/

This is from update that comes at 10am (sometimes later). Structure is more or less the same, sometimes FPVs, Lanc, etc are also reported. But not every time. The last time FPV strikes mentioned it was around 1500 strikes for the day. It is growing, was 1000 just 2 weeks ago. Maybe counting approach evolves. By the way here: https://lookerstudio.google.com/reporting/dfbcec47-7b01-400e-ab21-de8eb98c8f3a Ragnar has kindly included back a page with air strikes historical reporting.

I terms of KABs to airstrikes ratio, it seems to fluctuate. There should be more like at least 2 KABs per 1 strike perhaps. But that is not the case. Most of the days much lower. And I think that air strike is pair of airframes at once.

That can be probably attributed to usage of unguided munitions. So I am wondering whether unguided munitions are considered to be effective on par with KABs, whether it is lack of KABs, or whether it is lack of KAB ready airframes?

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