A Quick Review

Jun 25, 2025

Hello everybody!

That was a few frenzy days, wasn’t it?

So much so, must admit, it wasn’t easy to follow. Indeed, amid and after all the running from hospital to hospital and doctor to doctor, and quite a lots of quarreling and ‘kicking backsides’ to get things done (because, nowadays, even in the ‘holly, and so perfectly functioning’ health system of Austria, nothing works without one ‘kicking backsides, even ‘raising a voice’, even if only a bit… in real life, I’m a rather reserved and quiet person)…

…hand on heart: I’m in need of something like a ‘quick and simple’ review.

***

Correspondingly,

yesterday, per eloquent and classy order from honourable President of the United States (and the attachment below is genuine, no joke or meme), Israel stopped attacking Iran.

…thus ending a ‘12-days-war’.
Meanwhile, US intel assessments leaked to the US media say, the GBU-57s dropped by B-2s are unlikely to have destroyed Fordow.
and might have only damaged one of two main halls containing cascades with centrifuges in Natanz.
Israeli assessments (aired yesterday evening on I24), say Fordow can only be destroyed 'from within'.

To make sure: these are 'preliminary' assessments. Perhaps even 'worst case scenarios'. Fact is: unless somebody actually re-enters all the three facilities and checks... sigh... we're unlikely to know any time soon.
That said, it does look like Israel's goal of demolishing, dismantling... name it as you like - Iran's nuclear program has failed.
If for no other reason then because Iran came away with 408+ kg of uranium enriched to 60% (enough for 20 'devices');
and ability to either restore its major facilities or construct new ones (for example: somewhere further east in Iran, thus outside Israel's reach).
Indeed, both US and Israeli preliminary assessments are that Iran can fully restore its program in a matter of about six to twelve months (is approximately the same time-frame Iran completely repaired everything targeted by Israel in 2024, too).
Atop of this, about one hour ago, the Majlis voted 221:0 (plus 1 abstention) to suspend Iran's cooperation with the IAEA.
Of course, this still has to be confirmed by the Council of Guardians (highest clerical authority), but the country is thus on the 'best way out' of the NPT, too.
...while Israel is 'left without option' but to violate the cease-fire with Hezbollah (by bombing southern Lebanon and parts of Syria),

and continue the genocide on Palestinians - where Israeli own estimates are that the number of Palestinians killed since October 2012, has surpassed 370,000.

This is no ‘data from Hamas-controlled Ministry of Health in Gaza’, nor from the Harvard University, but from the Harvard Dataset. I.e. figures based on Israeli military intelligence assessments.

Meanwhile, Iran's ‘sole problem’ (‘just a little bit of a problem’), in regards of recovering from Israel’s bombardment will be the funding.
Mind that due to massive US and European sanctions, the country is selling up to 80% of its oil and gas to the PRC, and the PRC is paying in own valuta…
…which is so strictly controlled, the Iranians can only spend it in the PRC...
With other words: for all practical purposes, Iran is a 'Chinese colony administered by the IRGC'.
While I'm at 'counting the cost’: it's funny to monitor the Israelis boasting with the number of killed Iranian top military officers and 14 nuclear scientists, while pointing out Iranians killed 'only' 29 Israelis...
...cannot avoid the conclusion that by such metrics the US strike on Iran was a 'complete failure'…
- because nobody was killed...
...which reminds me that because of Israel's aggression on Iran, the IDF had to withdraw up to 50% of its troops out of the Gaza Strip ('to bolster defences towards the north and east').
As a consequence, the 'third & final' Israeli offensive ‘on Hamas’ in the Gaza Strip has petered out, the Hamas is still at about 60% of its pre-war strenght, and the IDF is suffering additional casualties there...
Bottom line: lots of 'fire & smoke', but nothing solved. Delayed at most.
...as usual in our times...

…which reminds me how funny it is to monitor all the cheering of this war - in the USA, in Europe, in Israel, in Iran, in India, and elsewhere…

…especially in countries where people are stubbornly re-electing the XYth generation of ‘politicians’ (deftly) paid to (literally) administer the status quo…
…but are still expecting a different result.

Man (and woman), we’re all having it so good, can’t say… 🙄